WEEKLY SLATE / CFB 2026

Week 11 - 11/10

3 games / 6 teams

LeagueSeasonWeek

	Score		TV						Opp win% A/H	SOS A/H · FPI	SOR A/H · FPI	Weather	Flags
Kent State3-6@ Bowling Green2-7	——	Tue, 11/107:00 PM EST	ESPNU	----	--	--	135136	7091	7968	6397	124133	--	INJ 5
Western Michigan6-3@ Akron1-7	——	Tue, 11/107:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	120102	66120	10166	10591	75136	--	INJ 6
Ohio6-2@ Miami (OH)5-3	——	Tue, 11/108:00 PM EST	ESPN2 / ESPN	----	--	--	8092	4576	116128	113111	6788	--	INJ 3

Click a row for full analytics. Rank tiers by percentile of FBS teams: dark green top 18%, green 36%, gray 64%, orange 82%, red below. AP in gold. "--" = not collected.

Ohio vs Miami (OH) / ESC TO CLOSE

Ohio vs Miami (OH): Week 11 Matchup Breakdown

MATCHUP ANALYSIS · Ohio vs Miami (OH)

11/10 · 8:00 PM EST · ESPN2 / ESPN

Unranked

Ohio6-2AWAY

Unranked

Miami (OH)5-3HOME

Point spreadNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Over / underNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Game-time weatherNot collectedWeather not collected · Source and update time not collected

Informational only · not an offer to wager · lines as of time not collected

OVERALL MATCHUP SUMMARYSLIGHT STATISTICAL LEAN

Slight statistical edge: Ohio

Ohio has the stronger available statistical profile, led by drive efficiency and scoring. Miami (OH)'s clearest counterpoint is explosive plays. This describes the data, not a predicted winner.

Data coverageBroad95% of planned weight

How much of the comparison had usable stats. Not a win probability.

SampleOhio: 8 profile games · Miami (OH): 8 profile games8 of 9 factors scored

Ohio: injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed. Miami (OH): injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed.

When each team has the ball

Ohio offense

Ohio's passing offense (#120) faces Miami (OH)'s pass defense (#132). This is weakness against weakness: both units rank in the bottom 30%, so neither brings a strong season-long profile to this comparison.

However, Ohio's rushing offense (#29) faces Miami (OH)'s rush defense (#15). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.

However, Ohio's pass protection (#57) faces Miami (OH)'s pass rush (#71). The rank gap gives Ohio's offense a favorable statistical matchup.

Ohio's red-zone touchdown offense (#12) faces Miami (OH)'s red-zone touchdown defense (#125). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.

However, Ohio's big-play offense (#122) faces Miami (OH)'s big-play defense (#85). Miami (OH)'s defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Ohio's offense in this area.

Slight Edge: Ohio

Miami (OH) offense

Miami (OH)'s passing offense (#82) faces Ohio's pass defense (#46). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.

Miami (OH)'s rushing offense (#90) faces Ohio's rush defense (#60). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.

Miami (OH)'s pass protection (#108) faces Ohio's pass rush (#71). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.

However, Miami (OH)'s big-play offense (#26) faces Ohio's big-play defense (#40). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.

However, Miami (OH)'s red-zone touchdown offense (#103) faces Ohio's red-zone touchdown defense (#44). Ohio's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Miami (OH)'s offense difficult to sustain.

Slight Edge: Ohio

Key factors to watch

Scoring
Ohio's scoring offense (#59) faces Miami (OH)'s scoring defense (#85). The rank gap gives Ohio's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Miami (OH)'s scoring offense (#75) faces Ohio's scoring defense (#50). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Slight Edge: Ohio
Passing
Ohio's passing offense (#120) faces Miami (OH)'s pass defense (#132). This is weakness against weakness: both units rank in the bottom 30%, so neither brings a strong season-long profile to this comparison.
Miami (OH)'s passing offense (#82) faces Ohio's pass defense (#46). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): Ohio averages 7.6 yards per pass attempt (#62), compared with Miami (OH) at 8.4 yards per pass attempt (#24). That is about 0.8 more yards per pass attempt for Miami (OH), supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
No Statistical Edge
Rushing
Ohio's rushing offense (#29) faces Miami (OH)'s rush defense (#15). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
Miami (OH)'s rushing offense (#90) faces Ohio's rush defense (#60). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): Ohio averages 4.9 yards per carry (#37), compared with Miami (OH) at 4.4 yards per carry (#68). That is about 0.5 more yards per carry for Ohio, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Slight Edge: Ohio
Pass protection / pressure
Ohio's pass protection (#57) faces Miami (OH)'s pass rush (#71). The rank gap gives Ohio's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Miami (OH)'s pass protection (#108) faces Ohio's pass rush (#71). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Slight Edge: Ohio
Drive efficiency
Ohio's third-down offense (#19) faces Miami (OH)'s third-down defense (#104). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Miami (OH)'s third-down offense (#100) faces Ohio's third-down defense (#72). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Ohio's red-zone scoring offense (#56) faces Miami (OH)'s red-zone scoring defense (#122). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone scoring offense (#35) faces Ohio's red-zone scoring defense (#18). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
Ohio's red-zone touchdown offense (#12) faces Miami (OH)'s red-zone touchdown defense (#125). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone touchdown offense (#103) faces Ohio's red-zone touchdown defense (#44). Ohio's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Miami (OH)'s offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Edge: Ohio
Explosive plays
Ohio's big-play offense (#122) faces Miami (OH)'s big-play defense (#85). Miami (OH)'s defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Ohio's offense in this area.
Miami (OH)'s big-play offense (#26) faces Ohio's big-play defense (#40). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Slight Edge: Miami (OH)

Situational context

Ohio is 6-2 overall. Miami (OH) is 5-3 overall.
Ohio is 2-2 on the road. Miami (OH) is 3-1 at home.
Ohio: previous opponent Eastern Michigan · 10/24 · home; next opponent Ball State · 11/17 · home. Miami (OH): previous opponent Central Michigan · 10/24 · away; next opponent Kent State · 11/17 · away.
Possession per game: Ohio 31:23; Miami (OH) 30:34. Style context, not an automatic advantage.
Ohio: 0 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report; Miami (OH): 1 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report. No player-value adjustment is applied.

Driver breakdown8/9 SCORED

Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsOhio
Ohio19Miami (OH)
Ohio's scoring offense (#59) faces Miami (OH)'s scoring defense (#85). The rank gap gives Ohio's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Miami (OH)'s scoring offense (#75) faces Ohio's scoring defense (#50). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsOhio
Ohio11Miami (OH)
Ohio's rushing offense (#29) faces Miami (OH)'s rush defense (#15). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
Miami (OH)'s rushing offense (#90) faces Ohio's rush defense (#60). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): Ohio averages 4.9 yards per carry (#37), compared with Miami (OH) at 4.4 yards per carry (#68). That is about 0.5 more yards per carry for Ohio, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsNo clear edge
Ohio2Miami (OH)
Ohio's passing offense (#120) faces Miami (OH)'s pass defense (#132). This is weakness against weakness: both units rank in the bottom 30%, so neither brings a strong season-long profile to this comparison.
Miami (OH)'s passing offense (#82) faces Ohio's pass defense (#46). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): Ohio averages 7.6 yards per pass attempt (#62), compared with Miami (OH) at 8.4 yards per pass attempt (#24). That is about 0.8 more yards per pass attempt for Miami (OH), supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsOhio
Ohio44Miami (OH)
Ohio's third-down offense (#19) faces Miami (OH)'s third-down defense (#104). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Miami (OH)'s third-down offense (#100) faces Ohio's third-down defense (#72). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Ohio's red-zone scoring offense (#56) faces Miami (OH)'s red-zone scoring defense (#122). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone scoring offense (#35) faces Ohio's red-zone scoring defense (#18). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
Ohio's red-zone touchdown offense (#12) faces Miami (OH)'s red-zone touchdown defense (#125). This is a major statistical advantage for Ohio's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone touchdown offense (#103) faces Ohio's red-zone touchdown defense (#44). Ohio's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Miami (OH)'s offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsMiami (OH)
Ohio-19Miami (OH)
Ohio's big-play offense (#122) faces Miami (OH)'s big-play defense (#85). Miami (OH)'s defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Ohio's offense in this area.
Miami (OH)'s big-play offense (#26) faces Ohio's big-play defense (#40). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsOhio
Ohio19Miami (OH)
Ohio's pass protection (#57) faces Miami (OH)'s pass rush (#71). The rank gap gives Ohio's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Miami (OH)'s pass protection (#108) faces Ohio's pass rush (#71). Ohio's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Miami (OH)'s offense in this area.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsMiami (OH)
Ohio-33Miami (OH)
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): Ohio averages -0.5 net turnovers per game (#106), compared with Miami (OH) at 0.1 net turnovers per game (#61). That is about 0.6 more net turnovers per game for Miami (OH), supporting an advantage in season-long turnover balance.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
Ohio3Miami (OH)
Opponents' combined win rate: Ohio 45.8%; Miami (OH) 43.1%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.

Method and limitations

Limitations

Missing or narrowly covered metrics are excluded. Their weights are not redistributed to the remaining metrics.
Ohio: injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Miami (OH): injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Game-time weather not collected; no weather adjustment is applied.

How this is computed

Rules-based comparison of the existing public CFBD pre-week profiles and original injury/context notes, with NWS weather context. No new provider or AI requests.
Rank strength = (teams ranked − rank) / (teams ranked − 1). A metric needs values and ranks for both teams and coverage of at least 80% of the FBS population. Rank 1 is best, including defense allowed and sacks allowed.
For each offense/defense metric: [(away offense strength − home defense strength) − (home offense strength − away defense strength)] / 2. Efficiency-only metrics compare the two teams directly.
Related metrics share a group weight: rushing/passing yardage receives twice the weight of yards per carry/attempt. Third down receives half of drive efficiency; red-zone score and TD percentages share the other half.
Weights: scoring 20%; rushing 15%; passing 15%; drive efficiency 15%; explosive plays 10%; pressure/protection 10%; turnover margin 5%; field goals 5%; schedule context 5%. Schedule uses the difference in opponents’ combined win rates.
Net comparison index: 10.9 on a −100 to +100 scale (positive favors Ohio, negative Miami (OH)). Missing weights stay neutral rather than being redistributed. This is not a probability, projected margin or betting model.
Overall call requires 55% of planned scoring weight and three games per team. Under 4 index points is even; 4+ slight; 12+ moderate requires 65% coverage and four games; 25+ strong requires 85% coverage and five games. Incomplete profile samples are not scored.
Record, venue splits, total offense/defense ranks and AP polls are not added again because they overlap existing evidence. Possession time is style context, not inherently better. Injuries, rest, rivalry and weather receive no invented numerical adjustments.
Schedule context is not a true opponent-adjusted rating. This heuristic has not been calibrated against outcomes. Odds are not inputs. Informational only; not a wagering recommendation.

Descriptive comparison of season stats only. The score has not been validated as a predictor and is not a forecast of the result.

TEAM PROFILE

Side by side

TIERS OF 138 FBS

Metric	Ohio	Miami (OH)	Edge
Record	6-2	5-3	Ohio
Opponent win percentage rank	#116 45.8% opponent win rate	#128 43.1% opponent win rate	Ohio
SOS rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#113 As of 11/02, 10:20 AM EST	#111 As of 11/02, 10:20 AM EST	Miami (OH)
SOR rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#67 As of 11/02, 10:20 AM EST	#88 As of 11/02, 10:20 AM EST	Ohio
Offense rank	#80 369.4 ypg	#92 358.1 ypg	Ohio
Defense rank	#45 333.4 allowed	#76 367 allowed	Ohio
ATS	4-4-0	4-4-0	Even
Rest / last game	Not collected 10/24 · Eastern Michigan · H	Not collected 10/24 · Central Michigan · A	No call
Venue record (away / home)	2-2	3-1	Miami (OH)
Next game	11/17 · Ball State · H	11/17 · Kent State · A	No call
Out / doubtful	0	1	Ohio
Season to date · completed games before this week · CFBD
Games in sample	8	8	—
Points / game	29.6 ppg59 of 138	27 ppg75 of 138	Ohio
Points allowed / game	21.9 ppg50 of 138	25.8 ppg85 of 138	Ohio
Rushing yards / game	192.4 yds29 of 138	141.3 yds90 of 138	Ohio
Yards / carry	4.9 yds37 of 138	4.4 yds68 of 138	Ohio
Passing yards / game	177 yds120 of 138	216.9 yds82 of 138	Miami (OH)
Yards / pass attempt	7.6 yds62 of 138	8.4 yds24 of 138	Miami (OH)
3rd-down conversions	49%19 of 138	36.3%100 of 138	Ohio
Red-zone scores	83.3%56 of 138	86.7%35 of 138	Miami (OH)
Red-zone TDs	73.3%12 of 138	53.3%103 of 138	Ohio
Field goal %	Not collected	Not collected	Not enough data
Explosive plays (20+) / game	3.1122 of 138	5.326 of 138	Miami (OH)
Sacks made / game	271 of 138	271 of 138	Even
Sacks allowed / game	1.857 of 138	2.5108 of 138	Ohio
Rush yards allowed / game	135.1 yds60 of 138	97.1 yds15 of 138	Miami (OH)
Pass yards allowed / game	198.3 yds46 of 138	269.9 yds132 of 138	Ohio
3rd-down conv. allowed	38.5%72 of 138	41.5%104 of 138	Ohio
Red-zone scores allowed	70.4%18 of 138	90.5%122 of 138	Ohio
Red-zone TDs allowed	51.9%44 of 138	71.4%125 of 138	Ohio
Explosive plays allowed / game	3.540 of 138	4.385 of 138	Ohio
Turnover margin / game	-0.5106 of 138	+0.12561 of 138	Miami (OH)
Time of possession	31:2338 of 138	30:3551 of 138	Ohio

POSSESSION MATCHUPS

Offense vs. Defense Comparison

2 POSSESSIONS

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

When Ohio has the ball

EDGE AT 15+ RANK GAP · #1 BEST

Ohio offenseMiami (OH) defense

29.6 ppg59 of 138

ScoringOffense edge · 26 spots

25.8 ppg85 of 138

192.4 yds29 of 138

Rushing yards / gameNo edge

97.1 yds15 of 138

177 yds120 of 138

Passing yards / gameNo edge

269.9 yds132 of 138

49%19 of 138

Third downOffense edge · 85 spots

41.5%104 of 138

83.3%56 of 138

Red-zone scoreOffense edge · 66 spots

90.5%122 of 138

73.3%12 of 138

Red-zone TDOffense edge · 113 spots

71.4%125 of 138

3.1122 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Defense edge · 37 spots

4.385 of 138

1.857 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeNo edge

271 of 138

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

When Miami (OH) has the ball

EDGE AT 15+ RANK GAP · #1 BEST

Miami (OH) offenseOhio defense

27 ppg75 of 138

ScoringDefense edge · 25 spots

21.9 ppg50 of 138

141.3 yds90 of 138

Rushing yards / gameDefense edge · 30 spots

135.1 yds60 of 138

216.9 yds82 of 138

Passing yards / gameDefense edge · 36 spots

198.3 yds46 of 138

36.3%100 of 138

Third downDefense edge · 28 spots

38.5%72 of 138

86.7%35 of 138

Red-zone scoreDefense edge · 17 spots

70.4%18 of 138

53.3%103 of 138

Red-zone TDDefense edge · 59 spots

51.9%44 of 138

5.326 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)No edge

3.540 of 138

2.5108 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeDefense edge · 37 spots

271 of 138

SEASON PROFILE

Pace & Pressure

3 METRICS

Time of possession / game: Ohio 31:2338 of 138; Miami (OH) 30:3551 of 138
Defensive sacks made / game: Ohio 271 of 138; Miami (OH) 271 of 138
Offensive sacks allowed / game: Ohio 1.857 of 138; Miami (OH) 2.5108 of 138

SEASON PROFILE

Red Zone

5 METRICS

Offensive red-zone score rate: Ohio 83.3%56 of 138; Miami (OH) 86.7%35 of 138
Defensive red-zone score rate allowed: Ohio 70.4%18 of 138; Miami (OH) 90.5%122 of 138
Offensive red-zone touchdown rate: Ohio 73.3%12 of 138; Miami (OH) 53.3%103 of 138
Defensive red-zone touchdown rate allowed: Ohio 51.9%44 of 138; Miami (OH) 71.4%125 of 138
Field-goal accuracy: Ohio Not collected; Miami (OH) Not collected

SPECIAL TEAMS · CFBD

Team Kicking

2 TEAMS

Ohio: Field goals (FGM/FGA): Not collected; Field-goal accuracy: Not collected; Longest field goal: Not collected; Extra points (XPM/XPA): Not collected
Miami (OH): Field goals (FGM/FGA): Not collected; Field-goal accuracy: Not collected; Longest field goal: Not collected; Extra points (XPM/XPA): Not collected

AUTO-DETECTED CONTEXT

Flags

1 FLAGS

RECORD TRAP · Ohio's strong record came against opponents ranked in the bottom 30% by combined win rate.

OhioRest: Not collectedNext: 11/17 · Ball State · H

Miami (OH)Rest: Not collectedNext: 11/17 · Kent State · A

PLAYER AVAILABILITY

Key Injuries

3 LISTED

Ohio: Carried forward from 2026 Week 8 — awaiting a Week 11 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Miami (OH): Carried forward from 2026 Week 8 — awaiting a Week 11 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Team	Pos	Status	Detail
Miami (OH)	QB	Season-ending	Upper-body injury (Oct 10 report) Source · Source date unknown
Miami (OH)	WR	Questionable	Missed Akron game (10/17), undisclosed; status for CMU not updated Source · Source date unknown
Miami (OH)	TE	Questionable	Did not play vs Akron, undisclosed Source · Source date unknown

Ohio: No major injuries reported; QB Matt Vezza listed as starter.

Miami (OH): QB David McComb out for the season; WR Devin Hyatt and TE Brendan Loftus missed last week and are uncertain.

SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Previous Opponents

FULL SEASON

Ohio

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
@ Nebraska	09/05	L 21-49	23.75	L
Jacksonville State	09/12	W 29-27	-1.75	W
@ South Alabama	09/19	L 36-41	7	W
Stonehill	09/26	W 35-7	-32.5	L
@ Kent State	10/03	W 13-10	-3.5	L
Central Michigan	10/10	W 31-14	-2.5	W
@ Sacramento State	10/17	W 48-7	-16.5	W
Eastern Michigan	10/24	W 24-20	-11.5	L

Miami (OH)

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
@ Pittsburgh	09/05	L 14-59	16.25	L
Holy Cross	09/12	W 45-7	-30.5	W
@ Cincinnati	09/19	L 31-35	14.5	W
UConn	09/26	W 24-21	-2.5	W
Bowling Green	10/03	L 20-24	-11.25	L
@ Massachusetts	10/10	W 20-19	-6	L
Akron	10/17	W 34-14	-9.5	W
@ Central Michigan	10/24	W 28-27	-3.5	L

Game context

GAME CONTEXT

Home field: Miami (OH)

Ohio travel

Home base: Time zone not collected. Game-venue time-zone comparison not collected.

Travel is context only, not a statistical advantage.

Unavailable figures are shown as “Not collected.” Rankings are national ranks where supplied.