WEEKLY SLATE / CFB 2026

Week 10 - 11/03 thru 11/04

5 games / 10 teams

LeagueSeasonWeek

		TV						SOS A/H	Weather	Flags
Ohio6-2@ Akron1-7	Tue, 11/037:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	88103	49118	11370	--	INJ 6
Buffalo5-3@ Miami (OH)5-3	Tue, 11/038:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	11796	9278	93121	--	INJ 7
Central Michigan3-5vs Eastern Michigan4-5	Wed, 11/047:30 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	133126	6990	22115	--	NEUINJ 4
Toledo6-2@ Sacramento State1-7	Wed, 11/047:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	11132	4084	12687	--	INJ 12
Ball State3-5@ Massachusetts4-4	Wed, 11/047:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	111113	12537	61120	--	INJ 7

Click a row for full analytics. Rank tiers by percentile of FBS teams: dark green top 18%, green 36%, gray 64%, orange 82%, red below. AP in gold. "--" = not collected.

Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan / ESC TO CLOSE

Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan: Week 10 Matchup Breakdown

MATCHUP ANALYSIS · Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan

11/04 · 7:30 PM EST

Unranked

Central Michigan3-5AWAY

Unranked

Eastern Michigan4-5HOME

Point spreadNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Over / underNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Game-time weatherNot collectedWeather not collected · Source and update time not collected

Informational only · not an offer to wager · lines as of time not collected

OVERALL MATCHUP SUMMARYPROFILES LOOK EVEN

No clear overall statistical advantage

The weighted comparisons do not separate these teams clearly. Individual strengths can still matter, but the available evidence does not support a clear overall edge.

Data coverageBroad95% of planned weight

How much of the comparison had usable stats. Not a win probability.

SampleCentral Michigan: 8 profile games · Eastern Michigan: 9 profile games8 of 9 factors scored

Central Michigan: injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed. Eastern Michigan: injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed.

When each team has the ball

Central Michigan offense

The clearest favorable comparison is red-zone td % (Central Michigan #25 vs Eastern Michigan #110). The main counterpoint is 20+ yard plays/game (Central Michigan #131 vs Eastern Michigan #51).

Eastern Michigan offense

The clearest favorable comparison is red-zone td % (Eastern Michigan #62 vs Central Michigan #126). The main counterpoint is passing yards/game (Eastern Michigan #85 vs Central Michigan #23).

Key factors to watch

Rushing: Central Michigan has the stronger comparable profile. Rushing yards/game: Central Michigan offense #52 vs Eastern Michigan defense #63; Eastern Michigan offense #128 vs Central Michigan defense #111. Yards per carry (offense): Central Michigan 4.5 (#59); Eastern Michigan 3.5 (#121).
Scoring: Eastern Michigan has the stronger comparable profile. Points scored vs points allowed/game: Central Michigan offense #132 vs Eastern Michigan defense #86; Eastern Michigan offense #112 vs Central Michigan defense #89.
Explosive plays: Eastern Michigan has the stronger comparable profile. 20+ yard plays/game: Central Michigan offense #131 vs Eastern Michigan defense #51; Eastern Michigan offense #127 vs Central Michigan defense #91.

Situational context

Central Michigan is 3-5 overall. Eastern Michigan is 4-5 overall.
Central Michigan is 0-0 at neutral sites. Eastern Michigan is 0-0 at neutral sites.
Central Michigan: 11 days between games. Eastern Michigan: 10 days between games.
Central Michigan: previous opponent Miami (OH) · 10/24 · home; next opponent Sacramento State · 11/11 · home. Eastern Michigan: previous opponent Ohio · 10/24 · away; next opponent Western Michigan · 11/17 · away.
Possession per game: Central Michigan 29:17; Eastern Michigan 31:10. Style context, not an automatic advantage.
Central Michigan: 1 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report; Eastern Michigan: 0 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report. No player-value adjustment is applied.
Neutral-site matchup; no home-field scoring adjustment.

Driver breakdown8/9 SCORED

Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsEastern Michigan
Central Michigan-8Eastern Michigan
Points scored vs points allowed/game: Central Michigan offense #132 vs Eastern Michigan defense #86; Eastern Michigan offense #112 vs Central Michigan defense #89.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsCentral Michigan
Central Michigan22Eastern Michigan
Rushing yards/game: Central Michigan offense #52 vs Eastern Michigan defense #63; Eastern Michigan offense #128 vs Central Michigan defense #111. Yards per carry (offense): Central Michigan 4.5 (#59); Eastern Michigan 3.5 (#121).
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsCentral Michigan
Central Michigan9Eastern Michigan
Passing yards/game: Central Michigan offense #134 vs Eastern Michigan defense #110; Eastern Michigan offense #85 vs Central Michigan defense #23. Yards per attempt (offense): Central Michigan 5.6 (#136); Eastern Michigan 5.8 (#134).
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsNo clear edge
Central Michigan-7Eastern Michigan
Third-down conversion %: Central Michigan offense #105 vs Eastern Michigan defense #95; Eastern Michigan offense #84 vs Central Michigan defense #137. Red-zone score %: Central Michigan offense #50 vs Eastern Michigan defense #106; Eastern Michigan offense #58 vs Central Michigan defense #83. Red-zone TD %: Central Michigan offense #25 vs Eastern Michigan defense #110; Eastern Michigan offense #62 vs Central Michigan defense #126.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsEastern Michigan
Central Michigan-16Eastern Michigan
20+ yard plays/game: Central Michigan offense #131 vs Eastern Michigan defense #51; Eastern Michigan offense #127 vs Central Michigan defense #91.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
Central Michigan-1Eastern Michigan
Sacks allowed (offense) vs sacks made (defense), per game: Central Michigan offense #104 vs Eastern Michigan defense #101; Eastern Michigan offense #67 vs Central Michigan defense #67.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsCentral Michigan
Central Michigan20Eastern Michigan
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): Central Michigan 0.4 (#43); Eastern Michigan 0 (#71).
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsCentral Michigan
Central Michigan19Eastern Michigan
Opponents' combined win rate: Central Michigan 64.8%; Eastern Michigan 46%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.

Method and limitations

Limitations

Missing or narrowly covered metrics are excluded. Their weights are not redistributed to the remaining metrics.
Central Michigan: injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Eastern Michigan: injury report carried from 2026 Week 8; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Game-time weather not collected; no weather adjustment is applied.

How this is computed

Rules-based comparison of the existing public CFBD pre-week profiles and original injury/context notes, with NWS weather context. No new provider or AI requests.
Rank strength = (teams ranked − rank) / (teams ranked − 1). A metric needs values and ranks for both teams and coverage of at least 80% of the FBS population. Rank 1 is best, including defense allowed and sacks allowed.
For each offense/defense metric: [(away offense strength − home defense strength) − (home offense strength − away defense strength)] / 2. Efficiency-only metrics compare the two teams directly.
Related metrics share a group weight: rushing/passing yardage receives twice the weight of yards per carry/attempt. Third down receives half of drive efficiency; red-zone score and TD percentages share the other half.
Weights: scoring 20%; rushing 15%; passing 15%; drive efficiency 15%; explosive plays 10%; pressure/protection 10%; turnover margin 5%; field goals 5%; schedule context 5%. Schedule uses the difference in opponents’ combined win rates.
Net comparison index: 2.2 on a −100 to +100 scale (positive favors Central Michigan, negative Eastern Michigan). Missing weights stay neutral rather than being redistributed. This is not a probability, projected margin or betting model.
Overall call requires 55% of planned scoring weight and three games per team. Under 4 index points is even; 4+ slight; 12+ moderate requires 65% coverage and four games; 25+ strong requires 85% coverage and five games. Incomplete profile samples are not scored.
Record, venue splits, total offense/defense ranks and AP polls are not added again because they overlap existing evidence. Possession time is style context, not inherently better. Injuries, rest, rivalry and weather receive no invented numerical adjustments.
Schedule context is not a true opponent-adjusted rating. This heuristic has not been calibrated against outcomes. Odds are not inputs. Informational only; not a wagering recommendation.

Descriptive comparison of season stats only. The score has not been validated as a predictor and is not a forecast of the result.

TEAM PROFILE

Side by side

TIERS OF 138 FBS

Metric	Central Michigan	Eastern Michigan	Edge
Record	3-5	4-5	Eastern Michigan
SOS rank	#22	#115	Central Michigan
Offense rank	#133 291.5 ypg	#126 318.6 ypg	Eastern Michigan
Defense rank	#69 359 allowed	#90 376.3 allowed	Central Michigan
ATS	4-4-0	4-5-0	Central Michigan
Rest / last game	11d 10/24 · Miami (OH) · H	10d 10/24 · Ohio · A	Central Michigan
Neutral-site record	0-0	0-0	No call
Next game	11/11 · Sacramento State · H	11/17 · Western Michigan · A	No call
Out / doubtful	1	0	Eastern Michigan
Season to date · completed games before this week · CFBD
Games in sample	8	9	—
Points / game	17.9 ppg·132 of 138	21.3 ppg·112 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Points allowed / game	25.9 ppg·89 of 138	25.7 ppg·86 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Rushing yards / game	169.3 yds·52 of 138	105.6 yds·128 of 138	Central Michigan
Yards / carry	4.5 yds·59 of 138	3.5 yds·121 of 138	Central Michigan
Passing yards / game	122.3 yds·134 of 138	213 yds·85 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Yards / pass attempt	5.6 yds·136 of 138	5.8 yds·134 of 138	Eastern Michigan
3rd-down conversions	35.8%·105 of 138	38.6%·84 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Red-zone scores	85%·50 of 138	83.3%·58 of 138	Central Michigan
Red-zone TDs	70%·25 of 138	63.3%·62 of 138	Central Michigan
Explosive plays (20+) / game	2.6·131 of 138	2.9·127 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Sacks made / game	2·67 of 138	1.6·101 of 138	Central Michigan
Sacks allowed / game	2.4·104 of 138	1.9·67 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Rush yards allowed / game	178.9 yds·111 of 138	136.4 yds·63 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Pass yards allowed / game	180.1 yds·23 of 138	239.9 yds·110 of 138	Central Michigan
3rd-down conv. allowed	51%·137 of 138	40.5%·95 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Red-zone scores allowed	82.4%·83 of 138	85.7%·106 of 138	Central Michigan
Red-zone TDs allowed	73.5%·126 of 138	67.9%·110 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Explosive plays allowed / game	4.4·91 of 138	3.6·51 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Turnover margin / game	+0.375·43 of 138	0·71 of 138	Central Michigan
Time of possession	29:17·85 of 138	31:10·43 of 138	Eastern Michigan
Field goal %	Not collected	Not collected	No call

Offense vs Defense

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

When Central Michigan has the ball

EDGE AT 15+ RANK GAP · #1 BEST

Central Michigan offenseEastern Michigan defense

17.9 ppg·132 of 138

ScoringDefense edge · 46 spots

25.7 ppg·86 of 138

169.3 yds·52 of 138

Rushing yards / gameNo edge

136.4 yds·63 of 138

122.3 yds·134 of 138

Passing yards / gameDefense edge · 24 spots

239.9 yds·110 of 138

35.8%·105 of 138

Third downNo edge

40.5%·95 of 138

85%·50 of 138

Red-zone scoreOffense edge · 56 spots

85.7%·106 of 138

70%·25 of 138

Red-zone TDOffense edge · 85 spots

67.9%·110 of 138

2.6·131 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Defense edge · 80 spots

3.6·51 of 138

2.4·104 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeNo edge

1.6·101 of 138

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

EDGE AT 15+ RANK GAP · #1 BEST

Eastern Michigan offenseCentral Michigan defense

21.3 ppg·112 of 138

ScoringDefense edge · 23 spots

25.9 ppg·89 of 138

105.6 yds·128 of 138

Rushing yards / gameDefense edge · 17 spots

178.9 yds·111 of 138

213 yds·85 of 138

Passing yards / gameDefense edge · 62 spots

180.1 yds·23 of 138

38.6%·84 of 138

Third downOffense edge · 53 spots

51%·137 of 138

83.3%·58 of 138

Red-zone scoreOffense edge · 25 spots

82.4%·83 of 138

63.3%·62 of 138

Red-zone TDOffense edge · 64 spots

73.5%·126 of 138

2.9·127 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Defense edge · 36 spots

4.4·91 of 138

1.9·67 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeNo edge

2·67 of 138

Pace & Pressure

Time of possession / game: Central Michigan: 29:17·85 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 31:10·43 of 138
Defensive sacks made / game: Central Michigan: 2·67 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 1.6·101 of 138
Offensive sacks allowed / game: Central Michigan: 2.4·104 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 1.9·67 of 138

Red Zone

Offensive red-zone score rate: Central Michigan: 85%·50 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 83.3%·58 of 138
Defensive red-zone score rate allowed: Central Michigan: 82.4%·83 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 85.7%·106 of 138
Offensive red-zone touchdown rate: Central Michigan: 70%·25 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 63.3%·62 of 138
Defensive red-zone touchdown rate allowed: Central Michigan: 73.5%·126 of 138; Eastern Michigan: 67.9%·110 of 138

AUTO-DETECTED CONTEXT

Flags

3 FLAGS

WALL · Central Michigan defense has a 57-rank edge against Eastern Michigan offense.
HIDDEN STRENGTH · Central Michigan has faced a top-25% schedule.
SCHEDULE GAP · The teams' schedule ranks differ by at least 60 places.

Central MichiganRest: 11 daysNext: 11/11 · Sacramento State · H

Eastern MichiganRest: 10 daysNext: 11/17 · Western Michigan · A

PLAYER AVAILABILITY

Key injuries

4 LISTED

Central Michigan: Carried forward from 2026 Week 8 — awaiting a Week 10 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Eastern Michigan: Carried forward from 2026 Week 8 — awaiting a Week 10 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Team	Player	Pos	Status	Detail
Central Michigan	Angel Flores	QB	Questionable	Concussion protocol after WMU game Source
Central Michigan	Shawn Foster II	WR	Questionable	Soft-tissue/undisclosed injury Source
Central Michigan	Jayden Clerveaux	RB	Probable	Cleared from concussion per RotoWire 10/20 (Covers still lists Questionable) Source
Central Michigan	J. Allen	TE	Out	Knee; extended absence (Sep 15 entry, may be stale) Source

Central Michigan: Starting QB Angel Flores questionable (concussion); WR Shawn Foster II questionable; RB Clerveaux cleared.

Eastern Michigan: No major injuries reported; QB Noah Kim listed as starter, though backups Brogan McCaughey and Jace Stuckey both played vs Toledo (reason not stated).

SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Previous opponents

FULL SEASON

Central Michigan

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
@ New Mexico	09/05	L 7-38	11.25	L
Colgate	09/12	W 13-10	-18.5	L
Wyoming	09/19	W 24-10	1.75	W
@ Miami	09/26	L 3-52	41.25	L
Akron	10/03	W 41-17	-6.75	W
@ Ohio	10/10	L 14-31	2.5	L
Western Michigan	10/17	L 14-21	7.5	W
Miami (OH)	10/24	L 27-28	3.5	W

Eastern Michigan

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sacramento State	08/29	W 28-17	-9.25	W
San José State	09/04	L 21-27	-1.5	L
@ Michigan State	09/12	L 7-35	17.5	L
@ Wisconsin	09/19	L 10-54	23.5	L
Lindenwood	09/26	W 29-3	-24.25	W
@ Massachusetts	10/03	W 38-14	5.75	W
@ Akron	10/10	W 25-23	-5	L
Toledo	10/17	L 14-34	7.25	L
@ Ohio	10/24	L 20-24	11.5	W

GAME CONTEXT

Neutral-site game

Unavailable figures are shown as “Not collected.” Rankings are national ranks where supplied.