WEEKLY SLATE / CFB 2026

Week 11 - 11/10 thru 11/13

11 games / 22 teams

LeagueSeasonWeek

	Score		TV						Opp win% A/H	SOS A/H · FPI	SOR A/H · FPI	Weather	Flags
Kent State3-6@ Bowling Green2-7	——	Tue 11/10 · 7:00 PM ET	ESPNU	----	--	--	135 136	70 91	90 79	63 97	124 133	OK53F / 6 mph	INJ 5
Western Michigan6-3@ Akron1-8	——	Tue 11/10 · 7:00 PM ET	CBSSN	----	--	--	120 102	66 120	94 53	105 91	75 136	OK52F / 3 mph	INJ 6
Ohio7-2@ Miami (OH)5-4	——	Tue 11/10 · 8:00 PM ET	ESPN2 / ESPN	----	--	--	80 92	45 76	134 108	113 111	67 88	OK50F / 2 mph	INJ 3
Massachusetts5-4@ Toledo7-2	——	Wed 11/11 · Time TBA	TBA	----	--	--	114 10	36 38	131 137	138 135	119 73	OK42F / 3 mph	INJ 4
Buffalo6-3@ Ball State3-6	——	Wed 11/11 · 7:30 PM ET	ESPN2	----	--	--	117 110	90 126	84 71	112 48	90 111	OK50F / 1 mph	INJ 11
Sacramento State2-8@ Central Michigan4-5	——	Wed 11/11 · 7:30 PM ET	ESPNU	----	--	--	132 133	73 68	77 31	136 71	137 114	OK45F / 3 mph	INJ 4
Memphis7-2@ South Florida6-2	——	Thu 11/12 · 8:00 PM ET	ESPN	----	--	--	4 129	88 24	76 126	107 132	49 72	--
Louisiana5-3@ Louisiana-Monroe1-7	——	Thu 11/12 · 9:00 PM ET	ESPN2	----	--	--	71 116	31 131	96 75	99 122	84 135	--	INJ 1
Florida State3-5@ Pittsburgh6-3	——	Fri 11/13 · 7:00 PM ET	ESPN	----	--	--	45 23	127 34	16 58	12 58	74 47	--	INJ 5
Illinois5-3@ 5UCLA8-0	——	Fri 11/13 · 9:00 PM ET	FOX / Fox	--5	UCLA -12.5	47.5	62 33	80 7	96 133	39 77	44 3	--	INJ 2
17Houston6-2@ Colorado3-5	——	Fri 11/13 · 10:15 PM ET	ESPN	17--	--	--	12 57	65 99	12 12	28 20	21 63	--	INJ 2

Click a row for full analytics. Rank tiers by percentile of FBS teams: dark green top 18%, green 36%, gray 64%, orange 82%, red below. AP in gold. "--" = not collected.

Florida State vs Pittsburgh / ESC TO CLOSE

Florida State vs Pittsburgh: Week 11 Matchup Breakdown

MATCHUP ANALYSIS · Florida State vs Pittsburgh

Fri 11/13 · 7:00 PM ET · ESPN

Unranked

Florida State3-5AWAY

Unranked

Pittsburgh6-3HOME

Point spreadNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Over / under--Source and update time not collected

Game-time weatherNot collectedWeather not collected · Source and update time not collected

Informational only · not an offer to wager · lines as of time not collected

OVERALL MATCHUP SUMMARYMODERATE STATISTICAL LEAN

Moderate statistical edge: Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh has the stronger available statistical profile, led by rushing and scoring. Florida State's clearest counterpoint is schedule context. This describes the data, not a predicted winner.

Data coverageBroad95% of planned weight

How much of the comparison had usable stats. Not a win probability.

SampleFlorida State: 8 profile games · Pittsburgh: 9 profile games8 of 9 factors scored

Florida State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed. Pittsburgh: injury report carried from 2026 Week 9; statuses have not been re-confirmed.

When Each Team Has the Ball

Florida State offense vs. Pittsburgh defense

Florida State's passing offense (#43) lines up against Pittsburgh's pass defense (#121). Florida State's offense holds a wide ranking gap over Pittsburgh's defense, and it points clearly toward the offense.

However, Florida State brings its rushing offense (#56) into the ground game against Pittsburgh's rush defense (#2). Florida State's offense faces a stronger-ranked Pittsburgh's defense here, which could limit it in this area.

Florida State's pass protection (#118) takes on Pittsburgh's pass rush (#25). Florida State's offense meets a much higher-ranked Pittsburgh's defense, one of the defense's clearest statistical edges.

Florida State brings its big-play offense (#10) into the big-play department against Pittsburgh's big-play defense (#76). Florida State's offense has a large ranking advantage over Pittsburgh's defense here.

Slight Edge: Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh offense vs. Florida State defense

Pittsburgh's passing offense (#20) faces Florida State's pass defense (#114). Pittsburgh's offense gets one of its clearest statistical openings against a much lower-ranked Florida State's defense.

Pittsburgh's rushing offense (#53) goes up against Florida State's rush defense (#111). Pittsburgh's offense ranks far ahead of Florida State's defense, and the numbers lean heavily toward the offense.

Pittsburgh brings its pass protection (#17) into the pass-protection battle against Florida State's pass rush (#14). Pittsburgh's offense against Florida State's defense is strength against strength: each unit ranks in the top 30%.

Pittsburgh's big-play offense (#36) faces Florida State's big-play defense (#124). Pittsburgh's offense has a major statistical advantage against a much lower-ranked Florida State's defense.

Edge: Pittsburgh

Situational Context

Florida State is 3-5 overall. Pittsburgh is 6-3 overall.
Florida State is 0-3 on the road. Pittsburgh is 5-1 at home.
Florida State: 13 days between games. Pittsburgh: 13 days between games.
Florida State: previous opponent Clemson · 10/31 · home; next opponent NC State · 11/21 · home. Pittsburgh: previous opponent Georgia Tech · 10/31 · home; next opponent Louisville · 11/21 · away.
Possession per game: Florida State 28:00; Pittsburgh 31:13. Style context, not an automatic advantage.
Florida State: 2 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report; Pittsburgh: 1 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report. No player-value adjustment is applied.

Driver Breakdown8/9 SCORED

Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsPittsburgh
Florida State-20Pittsburgh
Florida State's scoring offense (#54) takes on Pittsburgh's scoring defense (#31); the ranks do not show a clear edge. Pittsburgh's scoring offense (#49) takes on Florida State's scoring defense (#105), giving the offensive unit a distinct statistical advantage.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsPittsburgh
Florida State-27Pittsburgh
Florida State's rushing offense (#56) takes on Pittsburgh's rush defense (#2), giving the opposing defensive unit the statistical advantage. Pittsburgh's rushing offense (#53) takes on Florida State's rush defense (#111), giving the offensive unit a distinct statistical advantage.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsPittsburgh
Florida State-4Pittsburgh
Florida State's passing offense (#43) takes on Pittsburgh's pass defense (#121), giving the offensive unit a distinct statistical advantage. Pittsburgh's passing offense (#20) takes on Florida State's pass defense (#114), giving the offensive unit a distinct statistical advantage.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsNo clear edge
Florida State0Pittsburgh
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsPittsburgh
Florida State-8Pittsburgh
Florida State's explosive-play offense (#10) takes on Pittsburgh's explosive-play defense (#76), giving the offensive unit a distinct statistical advantage. Pittsburgh's explosive-play offense (#36) takes on Florida State's explosive-play defense (#124), giving the offensive unit a distinct statistical advantage.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsPittsburgh
Florida State-34Pittsburgh
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsPittsburgh
Florida State-55Pittsburgh
Turnover margin: Florida State -1 (#134) vs Pittsburgh 0.2 (#58), 1.2 net turnovers per game more for Pittsburgh.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsFlorida State
Florida State8Pittsburgh
Opponents' combined win rate: Florida State 64.9%; Pittsburgh 56.9%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.

Method and Limitations

Limitations

Missing or narrowly covered metrics are excluded. Their weights are not redistributed to the remaining metrics.
Florida State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Pittsburgh: injury report carried from 2026 Week 9; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Game-time weather not collected; no weather adjustment is applied.

How This Is Computed

Rules-based comparison of the existing public CFBD pre-week profiles and original injury/context notes, with NWS weather context. No new provider or AI requests.
Rank strength = (teams ranked − rank) / (teams ranked − 1). A metric needs values and ranks for both teams and coverage of at least 80% of the FBS population. Rank 1 is best, including defense allowed and sacks allowed.
For each offense/defense metric: [(away offense strength − home defense strength) − (home offense strength − away defense strength)] / 2. Efficiency-only metrics compare the two teams directly.
Related metrics share a group weight: rushing/passing yardage receives twice the weight of yards per carry/attempt. Third down receives half of drive efficiency; red-zone score and TD percentages share the other half.
Weights: scoring 20%; rushing 15%; passing 15%; drive efficiency 15%; explosive plays 10%; pressure/protection 10%; turnover margin 5%; field goals 5%; schedule context 5%. Schedule uses the difference in opponents’ combined win rates.
Net comparison index: -15.3 on a −100 to +100 scale (positive favors Florida State, negative Pittsburgh). Missing weights stay neutral rather than being redistributed. This is not a probability, projected margin or betting model.
Overall call requires 55% of planned scoring weight and three games per team. Under 4 index points is even; 4+ slight; 12+ moderate requires 65% coverage and four games; 25+ strong requires 85% coverage and five games. Incomplete profile samples are not scored.
Record, venue splits, total offense/defense ranks and AP polls are not added again because they overlap existing evidence. Possession time is style context, not inherently better. Injuries, rest, rivalry and weather receive no invented numerical adjustments.
Schedule context is not a true opponent-adjusted rating. This heuristic has not been calibrated against outcomes. Odds are not inputs. Informational only; not a wagering recommendation.

Descriptive comparison of season stats only. The score has not been validated as a predictor and is not a forecast of the result.

WHAT TO WATCH

Key Factors

Passing
Pittsburgh's passing offense (#20) faces Florida State's pass defense (#114), a statistical advantage for the offense. Florida State's passing offense (#43) faces Pittsburgh's pass defense (#121), a statistical advantage for the offense.
Edge: Pittsburgh
Pass protection / pressure
Florida State's pass protection (#118) faces Pittsburgh's pass rush (#25), a difficult matchup for the offense. Pittsburgh's pass protection (#17) faces Florida State's pass rush (#14); the ranks do not show a clear edge.
Edge: Pittsburgh
Explosive plays
Pittsburgh's explosive-play offense (#36) faces Florida State's explosive-play defense (#124), a statistical advantage for the offense. Florida State's explosive-play offense (#10) faces Pittsburgh's explosive-play defense (#76), a statistical advantage for the offense.
Edge: Pittsburgh
Turnovers
Florida State has a turnover margin of -1.00 per game (#134), compared with Pittsburgh at 0.22 (#58).
Edge: Pittsburgh
Rushing
Pittsburgh's rushing offense (#53) faces Florida State's rush defense (#111), a statistical advantage for the offense. Florida State's rushing offense (#56) faces Pittsburgh's rush defense (#2), a difficult matchup for the offense.
Edge: Pittsburgh

Stats through Week 9 · Data: CollegeFootballData.com

Offense vs. Defense Comparison

TEAM PROFILE

Side-by-Side

TIERS OF 138 FBS

Metric	Florida State	Pittsburgh	Edge
Record	3-5	6-3	No call
Opponent win percentage rank	#16 64.9% opponent win rate	#58 56.9% opponent win rate	No call
SOS rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#12 As of 11/05, 8:44 AM EST	#58 As of 11/05, 8:44 AM EST	No call
SOR rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#74 As of 11/05, 8:44 AM EST	#47 As of 11/05, 8:44 AM EST	No call
Offense rank	#45 414.4 ypg	#23 446.1 ypg	No call
Defense rank	#127 424.4 ypg allowed	#34 320.9 ypg allowed	No call
ATS	3-4-1	5-4-0	No call
Rest / last game	13 d 10/31 · Clemson · H	13 d 10/31 · Georgia Tech · H	No call
Venue record (away / home)	0-3	5-1	No call
Next game	11/21 · NC State · H	11/21 · Louisville · A	No call
Out / doubtful	2	1	No call
Season to date · completed games before this week · CFBD
Games in sample	8	9	—
Points / game	30.6 ppg54 of 138	31.9 ppg49 of 138	No edge
Points allowed / game	28.9 ppg105 of 138	19.8 ppg31 of 138	Pittsburgh
Rushing yards / game	165.8 yds56 of 138	167.7 yds53 of 138	No edge
Yards / carry	4.5 yds56 of 138	4.5 yds56 of 138	No edge
Passing yards / game	248.6 yds43 of 138	278.4 yds20 of 138	No edge
Yards / pass attempt	9.1 yds13 of 138	8.0 yds42 of 138	No edge
3rd-down conversions	39.0%82 of 138	40.8%58 of 138	No edge
Red-zone scores	84.8%45 of 138	80.6%86 of 138	No edge
Red-zone TDs	69.7%27 of 138	55.6%93 of 138	Florida State
Field goal %	Not collected	Not collected	Not enough data
Explosive plays (20+) / game	6.010 of 138	5.036 of 138	No edge
Sacks made / game	2.914 of 138	2.625 of 138	No edge
Sacks allowed / game	2.8118 of 138	1.117 of 138	Pittsburgh
Rush yards allowed / game	176.5 yds111 of 138	69.2 yds2 of 138	Pittsburgh
Pass yards allowed / game	247.9 yds114 of 138	251.7 yds121 of 138	No edge
3rd-down conv. allowed	40.0%85 of 138	34.9%41 of 138	Pittsburgh
Red-zone scores allowed	82.1%82 of 138	69.0%16 of 138	Pittsburgh
Red-zone TDs allowed	60.7%85 of 138	55.2%58 of 138	No edge
Explosive plays allowed / game	5.1124 of 138	4.176 of 138	Pittsburgh
Turnover margin / game	-1.0134 of 138	0.258 of 138	Pittsburgh
Time of possession	28:01118 of 138	31:1440 of 138	Pittsburgh

Possession matchups

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

Florida State offense vs. Pittsburgh defense

EDGE THRESHOLD 43 RANK PLACES · #1 BEST

Florida State offensePittsburgh defense

30.6 ppg54 of 138

ScoringNo edge

19.8 ppg31 of 138

165.8 yds56 of 138

Rushing yards / gameDefense edge · 54 spots

69.2 yds2 of 138

248.6 yds43 of 138

Passing yards / gameOffense edge · 78 spots

251.7 yds121 of 138

39.0%82 of 138

Third downNo edge

34.9%41 of 138

84.8%45 of 138

Red-zone scoreNo edge

69.0%16 of 138

69.7%27 of 138

Red-zone TDNo edge

55.2%58 of 138

6.010 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Offense edge · 66 spots

4.176 of 138

2.8118 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeDefense edge · 93 spots

2.625 of 138

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

Pittsburgh offense vs. Florida State defense

EDGE THRESHOLD 43 RANK PLACES · #1 BEST

Pittsburgh offenseFlorida State defense

31.9 ppg49 of 138

ScoringOffense edge · 56 spots

28.9 ppg105 of 138

167.7 yds53 of 138

Rushing yards / gameOffense edge · 58 spots

176.5 yds111 of 138

278.4 yds20 of 138

Passing yards / gameOffense edge · 94 spots

247.9 yds114 of 138

40.8%58 of 138

Third downNo edge

40.0%85 of 138

80.6%86 of 138

Red-zone scoreNo edge

82.1%82 of 138

55.6%93 of 138

Red-zone TDNo edge

60.7%85 of 138

5.036 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Offense edge · 88 spots

5.1124 of 138

1.117 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeNo edge

2.914 of 138

SPECIAL TEAMS · CFBD

Team Kicking

2 TEAMS

Florida State: Field goals (FGM/FGA): Not collected; Field-goal accuracy: Not collected; Longest field goal: Not collected; Extra points (XPM/XPA): Not collected
Pittsburgh: Field goals (FGM/FGA): Not collected; Field-goal accuracy: Not collected; Longest field goal: Not collected; Extra points (XPM/XPA): Not collected

Key Injuries

5 LISTED

Florida State: Carried forward from 2026 Week 10 — awaiting a Week 11 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Pittsburgh: Carried forward from 2026 Week 9 — awaiting a Week 11 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Team	Pos	Status	Detail
Florida State	WR	Reserve	Torn ACL vs Clemson; Stockstill confirmed out for season (11/3-11/4) Source · Source date unknown
Florida State	RB	Reserve	Ankle injury from 10/18 at Miami; confirmed out for season (SI, 11/4) Source · Source date unknown
Florida State	RB	Listed - no status	Left Clemson game hurt; practicing, status for BC 'up in the air' (11/4) Source · Source date unknown
Florida State	Unknown	Listed - no status	Stockstill said he's much closer to returning, could play more vs BC (11/4) Source · Source date unknown
Pittsburgh	QB	Reserve	Torn ACL in Oct 2 win at Virginia Tech, per ESPN's Pete Thamel (WPXI, Oct 3); confirmed season-ending (EssentiallySports, Oct 10) Source · Source date unknown

Florida State: Norvell fired 11/1; Rick Stockstill is interim coach. No QB injury reported. WR Duce Robinson (torn ACL) and RB Ousmane Kromah are out for the season; RB Tre Wisner is up in the air and WB Devin Carter is close to returning (11/4). ACC availability report due Wed night.

Pittsburgh: Mason Heintschel is out for the season (torn ACL), correcting Wednesday's 'Questionable'. Holden Geriner has started since Week 6, with Narduzzi committing to him (EssentiallySports, Oct 10) and expected to start over Corey Dailey in Week 8 (RotoBaller). No current-week report was found; three stale Covers tags were dropped.

Historical Matchup

No previous meetings on record

Player data: CollegeFootballData.com (saved data only). Uploaded summaries take precedence over automatic selections; missing periods are marked Not collected.

SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Previous Opponents

FULL SEASON

Florida State

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
New Mexico State	08/29	W 34-17	-30.75	L
SMU	09/07	L 24-27	3	P
@ Alabama	09/19	L 36-50	18.5	W
Central Arkansas	09/26	W 34-7	-46	L
Virginia	10/03	W 38-7	1.25	W
@ Louisville	10/09	L 20-44	4.25	L
@ Miami	10/17	L 35-43	20.25	W
Clemson	10/31	L 24-36	-5.5	L

Pittsburgh

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
Miami (OH)	09/05	W 59-14	-16.25	W
UCF	09/12	W 12-7	-7.25	L
Syracuse	09/17	W 27-13	-10.75	W
Bucknell	09/26	W 59-0	-54.5	W
@ Virginia Tech	10/02	W 35-33	1.5	W
North Carolina	10/10	L 17-21	-3.5	L
@ Boston College	10/17	L 21-27	-6.5	L
@ Miami	10/24	L 23-52	20.5	L
Georgia Tech	10/31	W 34-11	-8.5	W

Unavailable figures are shown as “Not collected.” Rankings are national ranks where supplied.