Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys35Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys's scoring offense (#7) faces Indianapolis Colts's scoring defense (#30). This is a major statistical advantage for Dallas Cowboys's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Indianapolis Colts's scoring offense (#26) faces Dallas Cowboys's scoring defense (#27). This is weakness against weakness: both units rank in the bottom 30%, so neither brings a strong season-long profile to this comparison.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 1/2 metricsIndianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys-26Indianapolis Colts
Yards per carry (offense): Dallas Cowboys averages 3.8 yards per carry (#25), compared with Indianapolis Colts at 4.1 yards per carry (#17). That is about 0.3 more yards per carry for Indianapolis Colts, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Passingwt 15 · 1/2 metricsDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys35Indianapolis Colts
Yards per attempt (offense): Dallas Cowboys averages 6.7 yards per pass attempt (#20), compared with Indianapolis Colts at 5.8 yards per pass attempt (#31). That is about 0.9 more yards per pass attempt for Dallas Cowboys, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 2/3 metricsNo clear edge
Dallas Cowboys-4Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys's third-down offense (#4) faces Indianapolis Colts's third-down defense (#7). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
Indianapolis Colts's third-down offense (#18) faces Dallas Cowboys's third-down defense (#32). This is a major statistical advantage for Indianapolis Colts's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Dallas Cowboys's red-zone touchdown offense (#8) faces Indianapolis Colts's red-zone touchdown defense (#27). This is a major statistical advantage for Dallas Cowboys's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Indianapolis Colts's red-zone touchdown offense (#18) faces Dallas Cowboys's red-zone touchdown defense (#23). The rank gap gives Indianapolis Colts's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsIndianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys-8Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys's big-play offense (#23) faces Indianapolis Colts's big-play defense (#20). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup.
Indianapolis Colts's big-play offense (#28) faces Dallas Cowboys's big-play defense (#30). This is weakness against weakness: both units rank in the bottom 30%, so neither brings a strong season-long profile to this comparison.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys24Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys's pass protection (#4) faces Indianapolis Colts's pass rush (#22). This is a major statistical advantage for Dallas Cowboys's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Indianapolis Colts's pass protection (#22) faces Dallas Cowboys's pass rush (#25). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected; no schedule advantage is assigned.