Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsNew England Patriots
Green Bay Packers-13New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers's scoring offense (#23) faces New England Patriots's scoring defense (#9). New England Patriots's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Green Bay Packers's offense difficult to sustain.
New England Patriots's scoring offense (#16) faces Green Bay Packers's scoring defense (#10). Green Bay Packers's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit New England Patriots's offense in this area.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 1/2 metricsNew England Patriots
Green Bay Packers-45New England Patriots
Yards per carry (offense): Green Bay Packers averages 2.9 yards per carry (#32), compared with New England Patriots at 4.1 yards per carry (#18). That is about 1.2 more yards per carry for New England Patriots, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Passingwt 15 · 1/2 metricsNew England Patriots
Green Bay Packers-35New England Patriots
Yards per attempt (offense): Green Bay Packers averages 7.1 yards per pass attempt (#14), compared with New England Patriots at 8.2 yards per pass attempt (#3). That is about 1.1 more yards per pass attempt for New England Patriots, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 2/3 metricsNew England Patriots
Green Bay Packers-26New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers's third-down offense (#20) faces New England Patriots's third-down defense (#11). New England Patriots's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Green Bay Packers's offense in this area.
New England Patriots's third-down offense (#12) faces Green Bay Packers's third-down defense (#21). The rank gap gives New England Patriots's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Green Bay Packers's red-zone touchdown offense (#26) faces New England Patriots's red-zone touchdown defense (#12). New England Patriots's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Green Bay Packers's offense difficult to sustain.
New England Patriots's red-zone touchdown offense (#14) faces Green Bay Packers's red-zone touchdown defense (#13). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers15New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers's big-play offense (#3) faces New England Patriots's big-play defense (#10). The rank gap gives Green Bay Packers's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
New England Patriots's big-play offense (#5) faces Green Bay Packers's big-play defense (#3). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
Green Bay Packers6New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers's pass protection (#8) faces New England Patriots's pass rush (#7). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
New England Patriots's pass protection (#12) faces Green Bay Packers's pass rush (#7). Green Bay Packers's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit New England Patriots's offense in this area.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected; no schedule advantage is assigned.