Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsJames Madison
James Madison67Southern Miss
James Madison's scoring offense (#5) faces Southern Miss's scoring defense (#123). This is a major statistical advantage for James Madison's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Southern Miss's scoring offense (#91) faces James Madison's scoring defense (#25). James Madison's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Southern Miss's offense difficult to sustain. This compares points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsJames Madison
James Madison47Southern Miss
James Madison's rushing offense (#21) faces Southern Miss's rush defense (#136). This is a major statistical advantage for James Madison's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Southern Miss's rushing offense (#71) faces James Madison's rush defense (#32). James Madison's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Southern Miss's offense in this area. This compares rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): James Madison averages 5.5 yards per carry (#14), compared with Southern Miss at 4.6 yards per carry (#55). That is about 0.9 more yards per carry for James Madison, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsNo clear edge
James Madison3Southern Miss
James Madison's passing offense (#44) faces Southern Miss's pass defense (#69). The rank gap gives James Madison's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Southern Miss's passing offense (#47) faces James Madison's pass defense (#112). This is a major statistical advantage for Southern Miss's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): James Madison averages 8 yards per pass attempt (#46), compared with Southern Miss at 6.9 yards per pass attempt (#97). That is about 1.1 more yards per pass attempt for James Madison, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsJames Madison
James Madison28Southern Miss
James Madison's third-down offense (#95) faces Southern Miss's third-down defense (#101). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup. This compares third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Southern Miss's third-down offense (#127) faces James Madison's third-down defense (#69). James Madison's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Southern Miss's offense difficult to sustain. This compares third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
James Madison's red-zone scoring offense (#9) faces Southern Miss's red-zone scoring defense (#73). This is a major statistical advantage for James Madison's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
Southern Miss's red-zone scoring offense (#112) faces James Madison's red-zone scoring defense (#50). James Madison's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Southern Miss's offense difficult to sustain. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
James Madison's red-zone touchdown offense (#22) faces Southern Miss's red-zone touchdown defense (#73). The rank gap gives James Madison's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Southern Miss's red-zone touchdown offense (#17) faces James Madison's red-zone touchdown defense (#19). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsJames Madison
James Madison19Southern Miss
James Madison's big-play offense (#33) faces Southern Miss's big-play defense (#116). This is a major statistical advantage for James Madison's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Southern Miss's big-play offense (#39) faces James Madison's big-play defense (#71). The rank gap gives Southern Miss's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsJames Madison
James Madison29Southern Miss
James Madison's pass protection (#13) faces Southern Miss's pass rush (#36). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles. This compares sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Southern Miss's pass protection (#80) faces James Madison's pass rush (#23). James Madison's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Southern Miss's offense difficult to sustain. This compares sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsJames Madison
James Madison59Southern Miss
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): James Madison averages 0.8 net turnovers per game (#18), compared with Southern Miss at -0.4 net turnovers per game (#99). That is about 1.2 more net turnovers per game for James Madison, supporting an advantage in season-long turnover balance.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
James Madison1Southern Miss
Opponents' combined win rate: James Madison 52.9%; Southern Miss 52.3%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.