Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
UTSA6Florida Atlantic
UTSA's scoring offense (#39) faces Florida Atlantic's scoring defense (#129). This is a major statistical advantage for UTSA's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Florida Atlantic's scoring offense (#17) faces UTSA's scoring defense (#91). This is a major statistical advantage for Florida Atlantic's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsUTSA
UTSA49Florida Atlantic
UTSA's rushing offense (#41) faces Florida Atlantic's rush defense (#137). This is a major statistical advantage for UTSA's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Florida Atlantic's rushing offense (#117) faces UTSA's rush defense (#114). This is weakness against weakness: both units rank in the bottom 30%, so neither brings a strong season-long profile to this comparison. This compares rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): UTSA averages 5.1 yards per carry (#29), compared with Florida Atlantic at 3.2 yards per carry (#131). That is about 1.9 more yards per carry for UTSA, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsFlorida Atlantic
UTSA-31Florida Atlantic
UTSA's passing offense (#74) faces Florida Atlantic's pass defense (#34). Florida Atlantic's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit UTSA's offense in this area. This compares passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Florida Atlantic's passing offense (#8) faces UTSA's pass defense (#68). This is a major statistical advantage for Florida Atlantic's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): UTSA averages 7.3 yards per pass attempt (#79), compared with Florida Atlantic at 7.8 yards per pass attempt (#53). That is about 0.5 more yards per pass attempt for Florida Atlantic, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsNo clear edge
UTSA-1Florida Atlantic
UTSA's third-down offense (#52) faces Florida Atlantic's third-down defense (#88). The rank gap gives UTSA's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Florida Atlantic's third-down offense (#11) faces UTSA's third-down defense (#76). This is a major statistical advantage for Florida Atlantic's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
UTSA's red-zone scoring offense (#70) faces Florida Atlantic's red-zone scoring defense (#91). The rank gap gives UTSA's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
Florida Atlantic's red-zone scoring offense (#58) faces UTSA's red-zone scoring defense (#63). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
UTSA's red-zone touchdown offense (#93) faces Florida Atlantic's red-zone touchdown defense (#131). The rank gap gives UTSA's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Florida Atlantic's red-zone touchdown offense (#62) faces UTSA's red-zone touchdown defense (#67). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup. This compares the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsUTSA
UTSA26Florida Atlantic
UTSA's big-play offense (#86) faces Florida Atlantic's big-play defense (#128). The rank gap gives UTSA's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Florida Atlantic's big-play offense (#74) faces UTSA's big-play defense (#46). UTSA's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Florida Atlantic's offense in this area. This compares 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsUTSA
UTSA11Florida Atlantic
UTSA's pass protection (#28) faces Florida Atlantic's pass rush (#113). This is a major statistical advantage for UTSA's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit. This compares sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Florida Atlantic's pass protection (#67) faces UTSA's pass rush (#121). The rank gap gives Florida Atlantic's offense a favorable statistical matchup. This compares sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsUTSA
UTSA27Florida Atlantic
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): UTSA averages 0.9 net turnovers per game (#10), compared with Florida Atlantic at 0.3 net turnovers per game (#47). That is about 0.6 more net turnovers per game for UTSA, supporting an advantage in season-long turnover balance.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
UTSA6Florida Atlantic
Opponents' combined win rate: UTSA 46%; Florida Atlantic 39.5%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.