Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsNew Mexico
New Mexico44Nevada
New Mexico's scoring offense (#19) faces Nevada's scoring defense (#53). The rank gap gives New Mexico's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Nevada's scoring offense (#88) faces New Mexico's scoring defense (#1). New Mexico's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Nevada's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsNew Mexico
New Mexico27Nevada
New Mexico's rushing offense (#19) faces Nevada's rush defense (#100). This is a major statistical advantage for New Mexico's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Nevada's rushing offense (#46) faces New Mexico's rush defense (#7). New Mexico's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Nevada's offense in this area.
These rankings compare rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): New Mexico averages 4.7 yards per carry (#47), compared with Nevada at 4.8 yards per carry (#40). That is about 0.1 more yards per carry for Nevada, supporting an advantage in rushing efficiency.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsNew Mexico
New Mexico18Nevada
New Mexico's passing offense (#130) faces Nevada's pass defense (#6). Nevada's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of New Mexico's offense difficult to sustain.
Nevada's passing offense (#121) faces New Mexico's pass defense (#19). New Mexico's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Nevada's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): New Mexico averages 8.4 yards per pass attempt (#26), compared with Nevada at 6.3 yards per pass attempt (#123). That is about 2.1 more yards per pass attempt for New Mexico, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsNew Mexico
New Mexico12Nevada
New Mexico's third-down offense (#82) faces Nevada's third-down defense (#9). Nevada's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of New Mexico's offense difficult to sustain.
Nevada's third-down offense (#75) faces New Mexico's third-down defense (#19). New Mexico's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Nevada's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
New Mexico's red-zone scoring offense (#89) faces Nevada's red-zone scoring defense (#124). The rank gap gives New Mexico's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Nevada's red-zone scoring offense (#28) faces New Mexico's red-zone scoring defense (#4). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
New Mexico's red-zone touchdown offense (#45) faces Nevada's red-zone touchdown defense (#68). The rank gap gives New Mexico's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Nevada's red-zone touchdown offense (#90) faces New Mexico's red-zone touchdown defense (#2). New Mexico's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Nevada's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsNew Mexico
New Mexico23Nevada
New Mexico's big-play offense (#49) faces Nevada's big-play defense (#22). Nevada's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit New Mexico's offense in this area.
Nevada's big-play offense (#107) faces New Mexico's big-play defense (#16). New Mexico's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of Nevada's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsNevada
New Mexico-15Nevada
New Mexico's pass protection (#104) faces Nevada's pass rush (#49). Nevada's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit New Mexico's offense in this area.
Nevada's pass protection (#28) faces New Mexico's pass rush (#13). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsNew Mexico
New Mexico99Nevada
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): New Mexico averages 2.6 net turnovers per game (#1), compared with Nevada at -1.3 net turnovers per game (#136). That is about 3.9 more net turnovers per game for New Mexico, supporting an advantage in season-long turnover balance.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsNevada
New Mexico-9Nevada
Opponents' combined win rate: New Mexico 41.3%; Nevada 50%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.