Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsSouth Florida
South Florida34East Carolina
South Florida's scoring offense (#83) faces East Carolina's scoring defense (#93). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup.
East Carolina's scoring offense (#94) faces South Florida's scoring defense (#10). South Florida's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of East Carolina's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsNo clear edge
South Florida-6East Carolina
South Florida's rushing offense (#91) faces East Carolina's rush defense (#71). East Carolina's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit South Florida's offense in this area.
East Carolina's rushing offense (#68) faces South Florida's rush defense (#74). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup.
These rankings compare rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): South Florida averages 4.3 yards per carry (#78), compared with East Carolina at 4.3 yards per carry (#78). The displayed rates are even.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsSouth Florida
South Florida15East Carolina
South Florida's passing offense (#113) faces East Carolina's pass defense (#63). East Carolina's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit South Florida's offense in this area.
East Carolina's passing offense (#104) faces South Florida's pass defense (#25). South Florida's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of East Carolina's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): South Florida averages 7 yards per pass attempt (#89), compared with East Carolina at 6.3 yards per pass attempt (#123). That is about 0.7 more yards per pass attempt for South Florida, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsSouth Florida
South Florida35East Carolina
South Florida's third-down offense (#70) faces East Carolina's third-down defense (#26). East Carolina's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit South Florida's offense in this area.
East Carolina's third-down offense (#129) faces South Florida's third-down defense (#60). South Florida's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of East Carolina's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
South Florida's red-zone scoring offense (#1) faces East Carolina's red-zone scoring defense (#122). This is a major statistical advantage for South Florida's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
East Carolina's red-zone scoring offense (#134) faces South Florida's red-zone scoring defense (#39). South Florida's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of East Carolina's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
South Florida's red-zone touchdown offense (#61) faces East Carolina's red-zone touchdown defense (#57). The rankings are close, with no clear statistical separation in this matchup.
East Carolina's red-zone touchdown offense (#130) faces South Florida's red-zone touchdown defense (#11). South Florida's defense has a major statistical advantage here and could make this part of East Carolina's offense difficult to sustain.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
South Florida0East Carolina
South Florida's big-play offense (#114) faces East Carolina's big-play defense (#78). East Carolina's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit South Florida's offense in this area.
East Carolina's big-play offense (#65) faces South Florida's big-play defense (#30). South Florida's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit East Carolina's offense in this area.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
South Florida-7East Carolina
South Florida's pass protection (#67) faces East Carolina's pass rush (#23). East Carolina's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit South Florida's offense in this area.
East Carolina's pass protection (#104) faces South Florida's pass rush (#80). South Florida's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit East Carolina's offense in this area.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsSouth Florida
South Florida55East Carolina
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): South Florida averages 0.4 net turnovers per game (#37), compared with East Carolina at -0.6 net turnovers per game (#112). That is about 1 more net turnovers per game for South Florida, supporting an advantage in season-long turnover balance.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
South Florida-3East Carolina
Opponents' combined win rate: South Florida 48.9%; East Carolina 52.2%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.