WEEKLY SLATE / CFB 2026

Week 12 - 11/17 thru 11/20

12 games / 24 teams

LeagueSeasonWeek

Rankings: CFP (Nov 10)

Tuesday, November 173 games

Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET · 41°F, 0 mphBall State3-7@Ohio7-3Spread--O/U--
Tue 11/17 · 6:00 PM ET · 42°F, 1 mphEastern Michigan4-6@Western Michigan7-3Spread--O/U--
Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET · 41°F, 0 mphMiami (OH)6-4@Kent State3-7Spread--O/U--

Wednesday, November 182 games

Wed 11/18 · 7:00 PM ET · 30°F, 1 mphAkron1-9@Massachusetts5-5Spread--O/U--
Wed 11/18 · 7:30 PM ET · 46°F, 5 mphCentral Michigan5-5@Buffalo7-3Spread--O/U--

Thursday, November 191 game

Thu 11/19 · 7:30 PM ETRice1-8@Temple2-7Spread--O/U--

Friday, November 206 games

	Score		TV						Opp win% A/H	SOS A/H · FPI	SOR A/H · FPI	Weather	Flags
Ball State3-7@ Ohio7-3	——	Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK41F / 0 mph
Eastern Michigan4-6@ Western Michigan7-3	——	Tue 11/17 · 6:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK42F / 1 mph
Miami (OH)6-4@ Kent State3-7	——	Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK41F / 0 mph
Akron1-9@ Massachusetts5-5	——	Wed 11/18 · 7:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	COLD30F / 1 mph
Central Michigan5-5@ Buffalo7-3	——	Wed 11/18 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK46F / 5 mph
Rice1-8@ Temple2-7	——	Thu 11/19 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
Iowa State4-5@ UCF5-4	——	Fri 11/20 · 6:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
Clemson6-3@ Duke7-2	——	Fri 11/20 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
Bowling Green3-7@ Toledo8-2	——	Fri 11/20 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
16Oregon6-3@ Michigan State3-6	——	Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET	TBA	16--	--	--	38 133	58 43	1 2	9 16	16 74	--	INJ 19
UTEP1-8@ Air Force7-2	——	Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
New Mexico8-1@ Wyoming6-3	——	Fri 11/20 · 9:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--

Click a row for full analytics. Rank tiers by percentile of FBS teams: dark green top 18%, green 36%, gray 64%, orange 82%, red below. AP in gold. "--" = not collected.

Oregon vs Michigan State / ESC TO CLOSE

Oregon vs Michigan State: Week 12 Matchup Breakdown

MATCHUP ANALYSIS · Oregon vs Michigan State

Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET

Switch game · Week 12

#16

Oregon6-3AWAY

Unranked

Michigan State3-6HOME

Point spreadNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Over / under--Source and update time not collected

Game-time weatherNot collectedWeather not collected · Source and update time not collected

Informational only · not an offer to wager · lines as of time not collected

OVERALL MATCHUP SUMMARYMODERATE STATISTICAL LEAN

Moderate statistical edge: Oregon

Oregon has the stronger available statistical profile, led by scoring and rushing. No strong counter-edge appears in the scored groups; that does not imply the opponent has no path to a competitive game. This describes the data, not a predicted winner.

Data coverageBroad95% of planned weight

How much of the comparison had usable stats. Not a win probability.

SampleOregon: 9 profile games · Michigan State: 9 profile games8 of 9 factors scored

Oregon: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed. Michigan State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.

When Each Team Has the Ball

Oregon offense vs. Michigan State defense

Passing Offense

Oregon's passing offense (#14) goes up against Michigan State's pass defense (#43).

No Edge

Rushing Offense

Oregon's rushing offense (#98) faces Michigan State's run defense (#69).

No Edge

Pass Protection

Oregon's pass protection (#23) meets Michigan State's pass rush (#80).

Slight Advantage: Oregon

Red Zone Offense

Oregon's red-zone offense (#42) against Michigan State's red-zone defense (#119).

Moderate Advantage: Oregon

Red-zone scoring counts any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.

Third Down Offense

Oregon's third-down offense (#89) takes on Michigan State's third-down defense (#81).

No Edge

Overall

Slight Edge: Oregon

Michigan State offense vs. Oregon defense

Passing Offense

Michigan State's passing offense (#117) goes up against Oregon's pass defense (#85).

No Edge

Rushing Offense

Michigan State's rushing offense (#126) faces Oregon's run defense (#40).

Clear Advantage: Oregon

Pass Protection

Michigan State's pass protection (#124) meets Oregon's pass rush (#59).

Moderate Advantage: Oregon

Red Zone Offense

Michigan State's red-zone offense (#63) against Oregon's red-zone defense (#94).

No Edge

Red-zone scoring counts any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.

Third Down Offense

Michigan State's third-down offense (#82) takes on Oregon's third-down defense (#26).

Slight Advantage: Oregon

Overall

Edge: Oregon

Situational Context

Overall Record: Oregon is 6-3 overall. Michigan State is 3-6 overall.
Game Context: Oregon is 2-2 on the road. Michigan State is 2-3 at home.
Rest: 13 days between games for both teams. Off a bye for both teams.
Previous and Next Opponents:
- Oregon: previous opponent Ohio State, 11/07 (away); next opponent Washington, 11/28 (home)
- Michigan State: previous opponent Michigan, 11/07 (away); next opponent Rutgers, 11/28 (away)
Time of Possession: Oregon 28:42; Michigan State 30:12 (style context, not an automatic advantage)
Injuries: Oregon: 0 out, 1 season-ending, 0 doubtful (last available report). Michigan State: 13 out, 0 season-ending, 0 doubtful (last available report). No player-value adjustment is applied.

Driver Breakdown8/9 SCORED

ScoringShare of the overall summary this category carries.Slight Advantage
- Oregon's scoring offense (#29) vs. Michigan State's scoring defense (#59)
- Michigan State's scoring offense (#127) vs. Oregon's scoring defense (#49)
Slight Advantage: Oregon
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +54 means Oregon are favored by 54 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
RushingShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- Oregon's rushing offense (#98) vs. Michigan State's run defense (#69)
- Michigan State's rushing offense (#126) vs. Oregon's run defense (#40)
- Oregon yards per carry 4.1 (#85) vs. Michigan State 3.1 (#133)
No Edge
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +35 means Oregon are favored by 35 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
PassingShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- Oregon's passing offense (#14) vs. Michigan State's pass defense (#43)
- Michigan State's passing offense (#117) vs. Oregon's pass defense (#85)
- Oregon yards per attempt 7.8 (#50) vs. Michigan State 6.4 (#116)
No Edge
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +42.3 means Oregon are favored by 42.3 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
Drive efficiencyShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- Oregon's third-down offense (#89) vs. Michigan State's third-down defense (#81)
- Michigan State's third-down offense (#82) vs. Oregon's third-down defense (#26)
- Oregon's red-zone scoring offense (#42) vs. Michigan State's red-zone scoring defense (#119)
- Michigan State's red-zone scoring offense (#63) vs. Oregon's red-zone scoring defense (#94)
- Oregon's red-zone touchdown offense (#80) vs. Michigan State's red-zone touchdown defense (#88)
- Michigan State's red-zone touchdown offense (#116) vs. Oregon's red-zone touchdown defense (#40)
No Edge
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +29.7 means Oregon are favored by 29.7 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
Explosive playsShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- Oregon's big-play offense (#23) vs. Michigan State's big-play defense (#36)
- Michigan State's big-play offense (#138) vs. Oregon's big-play defense (#104)
No Edge
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +23.5 means Oregon are favored by 23.5 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
Pass protection / pressureShare of the overall summary this category carries.Moderate Advantage
- Oregon's pass protection (#23) vs. Michigan State's pass rush (#80)
- Michigan State's pass protection (#124) vs. Oregon's pass rush (#59)
Moderate Advantage: Oregon
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +61 means Oregon are favored by 61 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
Turnover marginShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- Oregon turnover margin 0/game (#65) vs. Michigan State −0.2/game (#88)
No Edge
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +23 means Oregon are favored by 23 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
Field-goal efficiencyShare of the overall summary this category carries.No call
- Oregon field-goal percentage not collected (rank not collected) vs. Michigan State not collected (rank not collected)
No call
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. Ranks are missing, so no call is made. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State
Schedule contextShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- Oregon schedule strength 73.6% opponent win rate (#1) vs. Michigan State 68.7% opponent win rate (#2)
No Edge
OregonNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +1 means Oregon are favored by 1 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Michigan State

Method and Limitations

Limitations

Missing or narrowly covered metrics are excluded. Their weights are not redistributed to the remaining metrics.
Oregon: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Michigan State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Game-time weather not collected; no weather adjustment is applied.

How This Is Computed

Rules-based comparison of the existing public CFBD pre-week profiles and original injury/context notes, with NWS weather context. No new provider or AI requests.
Rank strength = (teams ranked − rank) / (teams ranked − 1). A metric needs values and ranks for both teams and coverage of at least 80% of the FBS population. Rank 1 is best, including defense allowed and sacks allowed.
For each offense/defense metric: [(away offense strength − home defense strength) − (home offense strength − away defense strength)] / 2. Efficiency-only metrics compare the two teams directly.
Related metrics share a group weight: rushing/passing yardage receives twice the weight of yards per carry/attempt. Third down receives half of drive efficiency; red-zone score and TD percentages share the other half.
Weights: scoring 20%; rushing 15%; passing 15%; drive efficiency 15%; explosive plays 10%; pressure/protection 10%; turnover margin 5%; field goals 5%; schedule context 5%. Schedule uses the difference in opponents’ combined win rates.
Net comparison index: 21.3 on a −100 to +100 scale (positive favors Oregon, negative Michigan State). Missing weights stay neutral rather than being redistributed. This is not a probability, projected margin or betting model.
Overall call requires 55% of planned scoring weight and three games per team. Under 4 index points is even; 4+ slight; 12+ moderate requires 65% coverage and four games; 25+ strong requires 85% coverage and five games. Incomplete profile samples are not scored.
Record, venue splits, total offense/defense ranks and AP polls are not added again because they overlap existing evidence. Possession time is style context, not inherently better. Injuries, rest, rivalry and weather receive no invented numerical adjustments.
Schedule context is not a true opponent-adjusted rating. This heuristic has not been calibrated against outcomes. Odds are not inputs. Informational only; not a wagering recommendation.

Descriptive comparison of season stats only. The score has not been validated as a predictor and is not a forecast of the result.

WHAT TO WATCH

Key Factors

Rushing
Michigan State's rushing offense (#126) faces Oregon's rush defense (#40), a difficult matchup for the offense. Oregon's rushing offense (#98) faces Michigan State's rush defense (#69); the ranks do not show a clear edge.
Edge: Oregon
Scoring
Michigan State's scoring offense (#127) faces Oregon's scoring defense (#49), a difficult matchup for the offense. Oregon's scoring offense (#29) faces Michigan State's scoring defense (#59); the ranks do not show a clear edge.
Edge: Oregon
Pass protection / pressure
Michigan State's pass protection (#124) faces Oregon's pass rush (#59), a difficult matchup for the offense. Oregon's pass protection (#23) faces Michigan State's pass rush (#80), a statistical advantage for the offense.
Edge: Oregon
OFF A BYE
Oregon has 13 days between games. Michigan State has 13 days between games. Flag definition
HIDDEN STRENGTH
Michigan State has faced opponents ranked in the top 25% by combined win rate. Flag definition

How flags and edges work

Stats through Week 10 · Data: CollegeFootballData.com

Offense vs. Defense Comparison

TEAM PROFILE

Side-by-Side

TIERS OF 138 FBS

Metric	Oregon	Michigan State	Edge
Record	6-3	3-6	No call
Opponent win percentage rank	#1 73.6% opponent win rate	#2 68.7% opponent win rate	No call
SOS rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#9 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	#16 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	No call
SOR rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#16 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	#74 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	No call
Offense rank	#38 420.4 ypg	#133 292.1 ypg	No call
Defense rank	#58 349.7 ypg allowed	#43 337.0 ypg allowed	No call
ATS	4-5-0	5-3-1	No call
Rest / last game	13 d 11/07 · Ohio State · A	13 d 11/07 · Michigan · A	No call
Venue record (away / home)	2-2	2-3	No call
Next game	11/28 · Washington · H	11/28 · Rutgers · A	No call
Out / doubtful	1	13	No call
Season to date · completed games before this week · CFBD
Games in sample	9	9	—
Points / game	34.1 ppg29 of 138	19.3 ppg127 of 138	Oregon
Points allowed / game	22.1 ppg49 of 138	23.6 ppg59 of 138	No edge
Rushing yards / game	135.0 yds98 of 138	110.1 yds126 of 138	No edge
Yards / carry	4.1 yds85 of 138	3.1 yds133 of 138	Oregon
Passing yards / game	285.4 yds14 of 138	182.0 yds117 of 138	Oregon
Yards / pass attempt	7.8 yds50 of 138	6.4 yds116 of 138	Oregon
3rd-down conversions	37.8%89 of 138	39.0%82 of 138	No edge
Red-zone scores	86.0%42 of 138	83.3%63 of 138	No edge
Red-zone TDs	58.1%80 of 138	50.0%116 of 138	No edge
Field goal %	Not collected	Not collected	Not enough data
Explosive plays (20+) / game	5.323 of 138	2.3138 of 138	Oregon
Sacks made / game	2.159 of 138	1.980 of 138	No edge
Sacks allowed / game	1.223 of 138	3.0124 of 138	Oregon
Rush yards allowed / game	124.8 yds40 of 138	142.7 yds69 of 138	No edge
Pass yards allowed / game	224.9 yds85 of 138	194.3 yds43 of 138	No edge
3rd-down conv. allowed	32.6%26 of 138	39.5%81 of 138	Oregon
Red-zone scores allowed	84.8%94 of 138	88.2%119 of 138	No edge
Red-zone TDs allowed	51.5%40 of 138	61.8%88 of 138	Oregon
Explosive plays allowed / game	4.7104 of 138	3.436 of 138	Michigan State
Turnover margin / game	0.065 of 138	-0.288 of 138	No edge
Time of possession	28:43103 of 138	30:1268 of 138	No edge

Stats Hub · head to head

Stat comparison

2026 season · stats through Week 10

ORE

AWAYOregon6-3 · 9 G

MSU

HOMEMichigan State3-6 · 9 G

Spread Not collectedO/U --Venue Not collectedKickoff Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET

Offense vs. opposing defense

FBS ranks from the category pages · #1 best · edge only when both ranks exist

OregonOffenseMichigan StateDefense

ScoringNo edge

Total yardsNo edge

RushingNo edge

PassingNo edge

Passing efficiencyNo edge

3rd down conversion%No edge

4th down conversion%No edge

Red zone scoring%Edge Oregon

Sacks allowed vs sacksEdge Oregon

TFL allowed vs TFLNo edge

Michigan StateOffenseOregonDefense

ScoringEdge Oregon

Total yardsEdge Oregon

RushingEdge Oregon

PassingNo edge

Passing efficiencyEdge Oregon

3rd down conversion%Edge Oregon

4th down conversion%No edge

Red zone scoring%No edge

Sacks allowed vs sacksEdge Oregon

TFL allowed vs TFLNo edge

Discipline and special teams

Team vs. team · same statistic on both sides

OregonMichigan State

Penalties per gameNo edge

Penalty yards per gameNo edge

—Field-goal percentage%No call—

—Net puntingNo call—

Team vs. team

Same stat for both teams

OregonMichigan State

Turnover marginNo edge

Time of possessiontimeNo edge

Winning percentageEdge Oregon

Data: CollegeFootballData.com. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams in this snapshot, the same population as the category pages. A team with no stored value for a statistic (for example, too few attempts) is unranked and shows as unavailable rather than shrinking the population. FCS opponents show stored values but are not ranked. Return rows appear only when the hub has return data. Unavailable values are never shown as zero.

Key Injuries

19 LISTED

Oregon: Carried forward from 2026 Week 10 — awaiting a Week 12 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed. Injury report updated: not supplied.

Michigan State: Carried forward from 2026 Week 10 — awaiting a Week 12 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed. Injury report updated: not supplied.

Team	Pos	Status	Detail
Oregon	QB	Reserve	Ruled out for the rest of the season (Sun-Times/AP recap dated Oct 31, updated Nov 1); EssentiallySports dated Nov 2 confirms season-ending injury and Dylan Raiola as starter Source · 10/31Stale
Michigan State	QB	Out	Big Ten availability report, first report for Week 10 (Wolverines Wire via Yahoo, Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	QB	Questionable	Big Ten availability report (Wolverines Wire via Yahoo, Nov 5); missed UCLA game, Cayd Coffman started per ClutchPoints Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	RB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	RB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	LB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	RB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	TE	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	FB	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DL	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	OL	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	TE	Out	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DB	Questionable	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	WR	Questionable	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DB	Questionable	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale
Michigan State	DB	Questionable	Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) Source · 11/05Stale

Oregon: Starting QB Dante Moore is out for the season, so Dylan Raiola starts. RB Jordon Davison left the Oct 31 Northwestern game with a leg injury (per Lanning, Sun-Times Oct 31); no status found for Ohio State. No official Big Ten availability report located.

Michigan State: First Big Ten availability report (Nov 5) lists 13 Spartans Out incl. QB Cam Fancher and RBs Cam Edwards, Jaziun Patterson and Marvis Parrish, plus QB Alessio Milivojevic Questionable. Coming off a bye; a later (Friday) report update was not found.

Quarter splits and venue details

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Schedule & Results

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Unavailable figures are shown as “Not collected.” Rankings are national ranks where supplied.