WEEKLY SLATE / CFB 2026

Week 12 - 11/17 thru 11/20

12 games / 24 teams

LeagueSeasonWeek

Rankings: CFP (Nov 10)

Tuesday, November 173 games

Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET · 41°F, 0 mphBall State3-7@Ohio7-3Spread--O/U--
Tue 11/17 · 6:00 PM ET · 42°F, 1 mphEastern Michigan4-6@Western Michigan7-3Spread--O/U--
Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET · 41°F, 0 mphMiami (OH)6-4@Kent State3-7Spread--O/U--

Wednesday, November 182 games

Wed 11/18 · 7:00 PM ET · 30°F, 1 mphAkron1-9@Massachusetts5-5Spread--O/U--
Wed 11/18 · 7:30 PM ET · 46°F, 5 mphCentral Michigan5-5@Buffalo7-3Spread--O/U--

Thursday, November 191 game

Thu 11/19 · 7:30 PM ETRice1-8@Temple2-7Spread--O/U--

Friday, November 206 games

	Score		TV						Opp win% A/H	SOS A/H · FPI	SOR A/H · FPI	Weather	Flags
Ball State3-7@ Ohio7-3	——	Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK41F / 0 mph
Eastern Michigan4-6@ Western Michigan7-3	——	Tue 11/17 · 6:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK42F / 1 mph
Miami (OH)6-4@ Kent State3-7	——	Tue 11/17 · 7:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK41F / 0 mph
Akron1-9@ Massachusetts5-5	——	Wed 11/18 · 7:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	COLD30F / 1 mph
Central Michigan5-5@ Buffalo7-3	——	Wed 11/18 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	OK46F / 5 mph
Rice1-8@ Temple2-7	——	Thu 11/19 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
Iowa State4-5@ UCF5-4	——	Fri 11/20 · 6:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
Clemson6-3@ Duke7-2	——	Fri 11/20 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
Bowling Green3-7@ Toledo8-2	——	Fri 11/20 · 7:30 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
16Oregon6-3@ Michigan State3-6	——	Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET	TBA	16--	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--
UTEP1-8@ Air Force7-2	——	Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	137 58	107 17	59 121	68 131	133 61	--	INJ 1
New Mexico8-1@ Wyoming6-3	——	Fri 11/20 · 9:00 PM ET	TBA	----	--	--	----	----	----	----	----	--

Click a row for full analytics. Rank tiers by percentile of FBS teams: dark green top 18%, green 36%, gray 64%, orange 82%, red below. AP in gold. "--" = not collected.

UTEP vs Air Force / ESC TO CLOSE

UTEP vs Air Force: Week 12 Matchup Breakdown

MATCHUP ANALYSIS · UTEP vs Air Force

Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET

Switch game · Week 12

Unranked

UTEP1-8AWAY

Unranked

Air Force7-2HOME

Point spreadNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Over / under--Source and update time not collected

Game-time weatherNot collectedWeather not collected · Source and update time not collected

Informational only · not an offer to wager · lines as of time not collected

OVERALL MATCHUP SUMMARYCLEAR STATISTICAL LEAN

Strong statistical edge: Air Force

Air Force has the stronger available statistical profile, led by scoring and drive efficiency. UTEP's clearest counterpoint is schedule context. This describes the data, not a predicted winner.

Data coverageBroad95% of planned weight

How much of the comparison had usable stats. Not a win probability.

SampleUTEP: 9 profile games · Air Force: 9 profile games8 of 9 factors scored

UTEP: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed. Air Force: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.

When Each Team Has the Ball

UTEP offense vs. Air Force defense

Passing Offense

UTEP's passing offense (#133) goes up against Air Force's pass defense (#6).

Heavy Advantage: Air Force

Rushing Offense

UTEP's rushing offense (#90) faces Air Force's run defense (#61).

No Edge

Pass Protection

UTEP's pass protection (#137) meets Air Force's pass rush (#113).

No Edge

Red Zone Offense

UTEP's red-zone offense (#138) against Air Force's red-zone defense (#81).

Slight Advantage: Air Force

Red-zone scoring counts any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.

Third Down Offense

UTEP's third-down offense (#138) takes on Air Force's third-down defense (#44).

Heavy Advantage: Air Force

Overall

Edge: Air Force

Air Force offense vs. UTEP defense

Passing Offense

Air Force's passing offense (#138) goes up against UTEP's pass defense (#77).

Moderate Advantage: UTEP

Rushing Offense

Air Force's rushing offense (#1) faces UTEP's run defense (#114).

Heavy Advantage: Air Force

Pass Protection

Air Force's pass protection (#5) meets UTEP's pass rush (#124).

Heavy Advantage: Air Force

Red Zone Offense

Air Force's red-zone offense (#83) against UTEP's red-zone defense (#131).

Slight Advantage: Air Force

Red-zone scoring counts any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.

Third Down Offense

Air Force's third-down offense (#10) takes on UTEP's third-down defense (#130).

Heavy Advantage: Air Force

Overall

Edge: Air Force

Situational Context

Overall Record: UTEP is 1-8 overall. Air Force is 7-2 overall.
Game Context: UTEP is 0-4 on the road. Air Force is 4-1 at home.
Rest: 13 days between games for both teams. Off a bye for both teams.
Previous and Next Opponents:
- UTEP: previous opponent Hawai'i, 11/07 (home); next opponent Northern Illinois, 11/28 (away)
- Air Force: previous opponent Army, 11/07 (away); next opponent New Mexico, 11/27 (away)
Time of Possession: UTEP 27:51; Air Force 36:27 (style context, not an automatic advantage)
Injuries: UTEP: 0 out, 0 season-ending, 0 doubtful (last available report). Air Force: 0 out, 0 season-ending, 0 doubtful (last available report). No player-value adjustment is applied.

Driver Breakdown8/9 SCORED

ScoringShare of the overall summary this category carries.Clear Advantage
- UTEP's scoring offense (#138) vs. Air Force's scoring defense (#42)
- Air Force's scoring offense (#67) vs. UTEP's scoring defense (#129)
Clear Advantage: Air Force
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +79 means Air Force are favored by 79 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
RushingShare of the overall summary this category carries.Moderate Advantage
- UTEP's rushing offense (#90) vs. Air Force's run defense (#61)
- Air Force's rushing offense (#1) vs. UTEP's run defense (#114)
- UTEP yards per carry 4 (#91) vs. Air Force 5.3 (#15)
Moderate Advantage: Air Force
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +72.7 means Air Force are favored by 72.7 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
PassingShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- UTEP's passing offense (#133) vs. Air Force's pass defense (#6)
- Air Force's passing offense (#138) vs. UTEP's pass defense (#77)
- UTEP yards per attempt 6.4 (#116) vs. Air Force 7.2 (#81)
No Edge
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +33.7 means Air Force are favored by 33.7 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
Drive efficiencyShare of the overall summary this category carries.Moderate Advantage
- UTEP's third-down offense (#138) vs. Air Force's third-down defense (#44)
- Air Force's third-down offense (#10) vs. UTEP's third-down defense (#130)
- UTEP's red-zone scoring offense (#138) vs. Air Force's red-zone scoring defense (#81)
- Air Force's red-zone scoring offense (#83) vs. UTEP's red-zone scoring defense (#131)
- UTEP's red-zone touchdown offense (#133) vs. Air Force's red-zone touchdown defense (#109)
- Air Force's red-zone touchdown offense (#57) vs. UTEP's red-zone touchdown defense (#101)
Moderate Advantage: Air Force
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +64.5 means Air Force are favored by 64.5 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
Explosive playsShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- UTEP's big-play offense (#128) vs. Air Force's big-play defense (#28)
- Air Force's big-play offense (#123) vs. UTEP's big-play defense (#90)
No Edge
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +33.5 means Air Force are favored by 33.5 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
Pass protection / pressureShare of the overall summary this category carries.Moderate Advantage
- UTEP's pass protection (#137) vs. Air Force's pass rush (#113)
- Air Force's pass protection (#5) vs. UTEP's pass rush (#124)
Moderate Advantage: Air Force
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +71.5 means Air Force are favored by 71.5 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
Turnover marginShare of the overall summary this category carries.No Edge
- UTEP turnover margin −0.3/game (#97) vs. Air Force +0.1/game (#56)
No Edge
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +41 means Air Force are favored by 41 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
Field-goal efficiencyShare of the overall summary this category carries.No call
- UTEP field-goal percentage not collected (rank not collected) vs. Air Force not collected (rank not collected)
No call
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. Ranks are missing, so no call is made. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force
Schedule contextShare of the overall summary this category carries.Moderate Advantage
- UTEP schedule strength 56.2% opponent win rate (#59) vs. Air Force 45.8% opponent win rate (#121)
Moderate Advantage: UTEP
UTEPNet rank gap: the average distance, in league rank places, between each offense and the defense it faces in this category. +62 means UTEP are favored by 62 places on average. Thresholds: Slight 43, Moderate 60, Clear 78, Heavy 91 (CFB).Air Force

Method and Limitations

Limitations

Missing or narrowly covered metrics are excluded. Their weights are not redistributed to the remaining metrics.
UTEP: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Air Force: injury report carried from 2026 Week 10; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Game-time weather not collected; no weather adjustment is applied.

How This Is Computed

Rules-based comparison of the existing public CFBD pre-week profiles and original injury/context notes, with NWS weather context. No new provider or AI requests.
Rank strength = (teams ranked − rank) / (teams ranked − 1). A metric needs values and ranks for both teams and coverage of at least 80% of the FBS population. Rank 1 is best, including defense allowed and sacks allowed.
For each offense/defense metric: [(away offense strength − home defense strength) − (home offense strength − away defense strength)] / 2. Efficiency-only metrics compare the two teams directly.
Related metrics share a group weight: rushing/passing yardage receives twice the weight of yards per carry/attempt. Third down receives half of drive efficiency; red-zone score and TD percentages share the other half.
Weights: scoring 20%; rushing 15%; passing 15%; drive efficiency 15%; explosive plays 10%; pressure/protection 10%; turnover margin 5%; field goals 5%; schedule context 5%. Schedule uses the difference in opponents’ combined win rates.
Net comparison index: -36.2 on a −100 to +100 scale (positive favors UTEP, negative Air Force). Missing weights stay neutral rather than being redistributed. This is not a probability, projected margin or betting model.
Overall call requires 55% of planned scoring weight and three games per team. Under 4 index points is even; 4+ slight; 12+ moderate requires 65% coverage and four games; 25+ strong requires 85% coverage and five games. Incomplete profile samples are not scored.
Record, venue splits, total offense/defense ranks and AP polls are not added again because they overlap existing evidence. Possession time is style context, not inherently better. Injuries, rest, rivalry and weather receive no invented numerical adjustments.
Schedule context is not a true opponent-adjusted rating. This heuristic has not been calibrated against outcomes. Odds are not inputs. Informational only; not a wagering recommendation.

Descriptive comparison of season stats only. The score has not been validated as a predictor and is not a forecast of the result.

WHAT TO WATCH

Key Factors

Passing
UTEP's passing offense (#133) faces Air Force's pass defense (#6), a difficult matchup for the offense. Air Force's passing offense (#138) faces UTEP's pass defense (#77), a difficult matchup for the offense.
Edge: Air Force
Pass protection / pressure
Air Force's pass protection (#5) faces UTEP's pass rush (#124), a statistical advantage for the offense. UTEP's pass protection (#137) faces Air Force's pass rush (#113); the ranks do not show a clear edge.
Edge: Air Force
Rushing
Air Force's rushing offense (#1) faces UTEP's rush defense (#114), a statistical advantage for the offense. UTEP's rushing offense (#90) faces Air Force's rush defense (#61); the ranks do not show a clear edge.
Edge: Air Force
Explosive plays
UTEP's explosive-play offense (#128) faces Air Force's explosive-play defense (#28), a difficult matchup for the offense. Air Force's explosive-play offense (#123) faces UTEP's explosive-play defense (#90); the ranks do not show a clear edge.
Edge: Air Force
Scoring
UTEP's scoring offense (#138) faces Air Force's scoring defense (#42), a difficult matchup for the offense. Air Force's scoring offense (#67) faces UTEP's scoring defense (#129), a statistical advantage for the offense.
Edge: Air Force

Stats through Week 10 · Data: CollegeFootballData.com

Offense vs. Defense Comparison

TEAM PROFILE

Side-by-Side

TIERS OF 138 FBS

Metric	UTEP	Air Force	Edge
Record	1-8	7-2	No call
Opponent win percentage rank	#59 56.2% opponent win rate	#121 45.8% opponent win rate	No call
SOS rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#68 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	#131 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	No call
SOR rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#133 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	#61 As of 11/08, 8:46 PM EST	No call
Offense rank	#137 281.1 ypg	#58 392.4 ypg	No call
Defense rank	#107 399.2 ypg allowed	#17 295.9 ypg allowed	No call
ATS	2-7-0	6-3-0	No call
Rest / last game	13 d 11/07 · Hawai'i · H	13 d 11/07 · Army · A	No call
Venue record (away / home)	0-4	4-1	No call
Next game	11/28 · Northern Illinois · A	11/27 · New Mexico · A	No call
Out / doubtful	0	0	No call
Season to date · completed games before this week · CFBD
Games in sample	9	9	—
Points / game	14.1 ppg138 of 138	28.7 ppg67 of 138	Air Force
Points allowed / game	34.3 ppg129 of 138	21.4 ppg42 of 138	Air Force
Rushing yards / game	140.8 yds90 of 138	332.0 yds1 of 138	Air Force
Yards / carry	4.0 yds91 of 138	5.3 yds15 of 138	Air Force
Passing yards / game	140.3 yds133 of 138	61.2 yds138 of 138	No edge
Yards / pass attempt	6.4 yds116 of 138	7.2 yds81 of 138	No edge
3rd-down conversions	25.9%138 of 138	51.2%10 of 138	Air Force
Red-zone scores	47.6%138 of 138	81.4%83 of 138	Air Force
Red-zone TDs	38.1%133 of 138	62.8%57 of 138	Air Force
Field goal %	Not collected	Not collected	Not enough data
Explosive plays (20+) / game	3.0128 of 138	3.2123 of 138	No edge
Sacks made / game	1.1124 of 138	1.3113 of 138	No edge
Sacks allowed / game	4.3137 of 138	0.75 of 138	Air Force
Rush yards allowed / game	179.6 yds114 of 138	135.0 yds61 of 138	Air Force
Pass yards allowed / game	219.7 yds77 of 138	160.9 yds6 of 138	Air Force
3rd-down conv. allowed	47.4%130 of 138	35.7%44 of 138	Air Force
Red-zone scores allowed	92.3%131 of 138	82.8%81 of 138	Air Force
Red-zone TDs allowed	64.1%101 of 138	65.5%109 of 138	No edge
Explosive plays allowed / game	4.490 of 138	3.328 of 138	Air Force
Turnover margin / game	-0.397 of 138	0.156 of 138	No edge
Time of possession	27:51119 of 138	36:281 of 138	Air Force

Stats Hub · head to head

Stat comparison

2026 season · stats through Week 10

UTEP

AWAYUTEP1-8 · 9 G

HOMEAir Force7-2 · 9 G

Spread Not collectedO/U --Venue Not collectedKickoff Fri 11/20 · 8:00 PM ET

Offense vs. opposing defense

FBS ranks from the category pages · #1 best · edge only when both ranks exist

UTEPOffenseAir ForceDefense

ScoringEdge Air Force

Total yardsEdge Air Force

RushingNo edge

PassingEdge Air Force

Passing efficiencyEdge Air Force

3rd down conversion%Edge Air Force

4th down conversion%Edge UTEP

Red zone scoring%Edge Air Force

Sacks allowed vs sacksNo edge

TFL allowed vs TFLNo edge

Air ForceOffenseUTEPDefense

ScoringEdge Air Force

Total yardsEdge Air Force

RushingEdge Air Force

PassingEdge UTEP

121.8Passing efficiencyNo call

3rd down conversion%Edge Air Force

4th down conversion%Edge Air Force

Red zone scoring%Edge Air Force

Sacks allowed vs sacksEdge Air Force

TFL allowed vs TFLEdge Air Force

Discipline and special teams

Team vs. team · same statistic on both sides

UTEPAir Force

Penalties per gameNo edge

Penalty yards per gameEdge Air Force

—Field-goal percentage%No call—

—Net puntingNo call—

Team vs. team

Same stat for both teams

UTEPAir Force

Turnover marginNo edge

Time of possessiontimeEdge Air Force

Winning percentageEdge Air Force

Data: CollegeFootballData.com. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams in this snapshot, the same population as the category pages. A team with no stored value for a statistic (for example, too few attempts) is unranked and shows as unavailable rather than shrinking the population. FCS opponents show stored values but are not ranked. Return rows appear only when the hub has return data. Unavailable values are never shown as zero.

Key Injuries

1 LISTED

UTEP: Carried forward from 2026 Week 10 — awaiting a Week 12 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed. Injury report updated: not supplied.

Air Force: Carried forward from 2026 Week 10 — awaiting a Week 12 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed. Injury report updated: not supplied.

Team	Player	Pos	Status	Detail
Air Force		QB	Listed - no status	Turf toe, missed UConn win; 'could be back' per Denver Gazette (Nov 4); CBS (Nov 5) says Falcons may start freshman Howard Fisher IV Source · 11/04Stale

UTEP: No current-week report found as of Nov 6, 2026. Covers shows 'No injuries to report'; KFOX (Nov 5) preview mentions none.

Air Force: Air Force QB situation is unsettled: five QBs have taken 20+ snaps; Evan Medders (turf toe) could return, Howard Fisher IV may start again. Liam Szarka (leg) not addressed in current-week sources; stale Covers entries (Oct 5/18) dropped.

Quarter splits and venue details

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Schedule & Results

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Unavailable figures are shown as “Not collected.” Rankings are national ranks where supplied.