WEEKLY SLATE / CFB 2026

Week 10 - 11/03 thru 11/07

63 games / 126 teams

LeagueSeasonWeek

	Score		TV						Opp win% A/H	SOS A/H · FPI	SOR A/H · FPI	Weather	Flags
Ohio6-2@ Akron1-7	——	Tue, 11/037:00 PM EST	ESPN2	----	--	--	88103	49118	11168	11096	69136	OK63F / 8 mph	INJ 6
Buffalo5-3@ Miami (OH)5-3	——	Tue, 11/038:00 PM EST	ESPN	----	--	--	11796	9278	90122	114111	9086	OK63F / 7 mph	INJ 7
Central Michigan3-5vs Eastern Michigan4-5	——	Wed, 11/047:30 PM EST	ESPN2	----	--	--	133126	6990	21115	62118	116118	--	NEUINJ 4
Toledo6-2@ Sacramento State1-7	——	Wed, 11/047:00 PM EST	CBSSN	----	--	--	11132	4084	12985	134136	72137	OK64F / 3 mph	INJ 4
Ball State3-5@ Massachusetts4-4	——	Wed, 11/047:00 PM EST	ESPNU	----	--	--	111113	12537	62121	47138	114120	OK59F / 5 mph	INJ 7
James Madison7-2@ Southern Miss2-5	——	Thu, 11/058:00 PM EST	ESPN2	----	--	--	1859	63131	7875	129101	39123	--	INJ 15
UTSA7-1@ Florida Atlantic5-3	——	Thu, 11/057:30 PM EST	ESPN	----	--	--	5638	104134	116120	8299	2363	OK79F / 3 mph	INJ 6
Virginia Tech6-2@ SMU6-1	——	Fri, 11/067:00 PM EST	ESPN	----	SMU -7.5	57.5	4212	2624	130112	9573	4421	--	INJ 4
South Florida5-2@ East Carolina3-4	——	Fri, 11/067:30 PM EST	ESPN2	----	--	--	124102	3860	10382	12772	70109	--	INJ 8
Nebraska5-2@ Illinois4-3	——	Fri, 11/068:00 PM EST	FOX / Fox	----	--	--	3766	998	9065	4336	3353	--	INJ 15
New Mexico6-1@ Nevada3-4	——	Fri, 11/069:00 PM EST	CBSSN	----	--	--	9298	534	13390	100130	34117	--	INJ 14
TCU3-4@ Arizona6-1	——	Fri, 11/0610:15 PM EST	ESPN	----	--	--	5717	629	39117	5176	7822	--	INJ 13
Kentucky7-1@ Tennessee6-2	——	Sat, 11/076:15 PM EST	ESPN	----	Tennessee -5.5	49	7065	7216	5488	820	115	--	INJ 13
Clemson4-3@ Syracuse3-4	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 PM EST	ESPN2	----	--	--	11522	3252	2575	2455	4282	--	INJ 5
West Virginia5-3@ Texas Tech6-1	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	--	--	1548	13786	6480	6170	5119	--	INJ 7
Oklahoma State5-2@ Kansas State4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	--	--	232	7325	6890	5484	3267	--	INJ 4
Iowa State3-4@ Baylor4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	--	--	10841	8154	790	2675	6561	--	INJ 3
Colorado2-5@ Arizona State4-3	——	Sat, 11/077:30 PM EST	ESPN2	----	--	--	6454	10570	680	1439	7752	--	INJ 22
UCF4-3@ Kansas3-4	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	--	--	8426	6661	1719	3044	4081	--	INJ 19
Florida State3-4@ Boston College4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 PM EST	ACC Network	----	--	--	4981	12948	1450	659	5859	--	INJ 1
Cincinnati5-2@ Houston6-2	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	--	--	2013	12767	119	5628	3518	--	INJ 10
UCLA7-0@ Minnesota5-2	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	UCLA -6.5	42.5	27125	1017	130105	6369	237	--	INJ 13
Charlotte1-6@ UAB4-3	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	127110	13631	25109	68107	12885	--	INJ 4
Marshall4-3@ Georgia Southern3-4	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	6261	12840	9058	9490	91103	--	INJ 3
Louisiana Tech5-2@ Troy4-4	——	Sat, 11/074:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	6082	3650	86127	58106	45115	--	INJ 9
Vanderbilt3-5@ Mississippi State4-3	——	Sat, 11/074:15 PM EST	SEC Network	----	--	--	10731	77106	3244	175	7929	--	INJ 19
Hawai'i2-6@ UTEP1-6	——	Sat, 11/079:30 PM EST	FS1	----	--	--	91136	81110	9045	12248	130129	--	INJ 12
Alabama6-2@ LSU6-2	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	ABC	----	LSU -3.5	52.5	535	434	3522	723	716	--	INJ 14
Oklahoma4-3@ Florida5-2	——	Sat, 11/077:45 PM EST	SEC Network	----	Florida -4	48.5	11421	1189	1619	19	2614	--	INJ 9
Iowa5-2@ Northwestern6-1	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	Northwestern -2.5	42.5	6833	1474	79132	3553	3017	--	INJ 14
BYU6-1@ Utah7-0	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 PM EST	TBA	----	Utah -2.75	47.5	499	2327	49126	3289	86	--	INJ 8
Georgia State4-3@ App State5-2	——	Sat, 11/072:30 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	2451	6571	135136	113125	9566	--	INJ 9
Tulsa4-4@ Tulane3-4	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 PM EST	ESPNU	----	--	--	85116	116122	12522	10885	9893	--	INJ 7
Rutgers2-5@ Wisconsin5-2	——	Sat, 11/0712:30 PM EST	BTN	----	--	--	62118	12113	2543	4019	10620	--	INJ 8
Penn State3-4@ Washington4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	--	--	7268	2851	3290	4579	8068	--	INJ 33
Maryland2-5@ Purdue3-4	——	Sat, 11/0712:30 PM EST	BTN	----	--	--	7855	76119	82	2221	9962	--	INJ 4
Texas A&M4-4@ South Carolina4-3	——	Sat, 11/073:00 PM EST	ESPN2 / ESPN	----	--	--	10519	3053	2812	1516	5736	--	INJ 12
Northern Illinois0-7@ San José State4-4	——	Sat, 11/074:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	12993	12696	39113	74112	138108	--	INJ 6
Arkansas3-4@ Auburn4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:45 PM EST	SEC Network	----	--	--	10680	67109	1838	103	5627	--	INJ 10
merrimack0-1@ Wake Forest6-1	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	ACC Network	----	--	--	--25	--35	--106	--38	--11	--	INJ 6
Georgia6-1@ Ole Miss5-2	——	Sat, 11/077:30 PM EST	ABC	----	Georgia -2.75	56	1435	12108	8659	342	109	--	INJ 21
Texas5-2@ Missouri5-2	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 PM EST	TBA	----	Texas -4.5	51	8736	1544	461	429	1225	--	INJ 7
Michigan State2-6@ Michigan4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 AM EST	TBA	----	Michigan -14	39.5	134130	642	353	1237	9446	--	INJ 31
Old Dominion2-6@ Coastal Carolina2-5	——	Sat, 11/071:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	13874	59123	3039	104124	125126	--	INJ 19
Rice1-7@ North Texas6-2	——	Sat, 11/074:00 PM EST	ESPNU	----	--	--	993	10091	2883	6566	13247	--	INJ 11
Oregon4-3@ Ohio State6-1	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	CBS	----	Ohio State -14	45.5	4410	396	167	1813	314	--	INJ 15
Duke5-2@ NC State3-4	——	Sat, 11/0712:30 PM EST	CW	----	--	--	4046	2294	10955	8667	4387	--	INJ 13
Louisville4-3@ Georgia Tech2-5	——	Sat, 11/077:30 PM EST	ACC Network	----	--	--	877	124117	3747	3377	41110	--	INJ 17
South Alabama4-3@ Louisiana5-3	——	Sat, 11/075:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	4373	12033	6890	102109	9289	--	INJ 12
North Carolina4-3@ UConn4-3	——	Sat, 11/0712:00 PM EST	CBSSN	----	--	--	11223	85107	45134	27132	38102	--
UL Monroe1-6@ Arkansas State4-4	——	Sat, 11/073:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	12176	132102	5090	120115	134105	--	INJ 13
Delaware4-4@ Kennesaw State2-6	——	Sat, 11/073:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	7597	11194	11342	11691	112133	--
Western Kentucky3-5@ Middle Tennessee4-4	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	100109	88114	90106	31123	10096	--
Temple2-5@ Navy2-5	——	Sat, 11/073:30 PM EST	CBSSN	----	--	--	7139	11575	6512	105121	121122	--	INJ 12
Missouri State3-5@ Florida International3-4	——	Sat, 11/074:00 PM EST	TBA	----	--	--	8679	13019	12248	81137	124119	--
Liberty6-1@ New Mexico State3-5	——	Sat, 11/078:00 PM EST	ESPNU	----	--	--	5190	1847	138119	12898	49107	--	INJ 1
Boise State6-1@ Colorado State3-4	——	Sat, 11/076:00 PM EST	USA Net	----	--	--	2916	62138	10314	8088	24101	--	INJ 11
Sam Houston1-7@ Jacksonville State6-2	——	Sat, 11/077:00 PM EST	CBSSN	----	--	--	11967	5558	7390	87131	13571	--
Air Force5-2@ Army5-2	——	Sat, 11/077:30 PM EST	CBS	----	Army -5.5	51.5	5845	2087	11772	135126	7464	--	INJ 2
Miami7-0@ Notre Dame6-1	——	Sat, 11/077:30 PM EST	NBC	----	Notre Dame -3.5	54.5	128	211	68106	6041	313	--	INJ 4
Fresno State4-3@ Utah State2-5	——	Sat, 11/079:30 PM EST	USA Net	----	--	--	101128	10156	13650	9349	84111	--	INJ 20
Texas State4-3@ Oregon State5-2	——	Sat, 11/0710:30 PM EST	CW / The CW Network	----	--	--	46	11257	55122	7178	7350	--
Wyoming5-3@ UNLV4-3	——	Sat, 11/0710:30 PM EST	CBSSN	----	--	--	12083	8097	12777	133117	9783	--	INJ 2

Click a row for full analytics. Rank tiers by percentile of FBS teams: dark green top 18%, green 36%, gray 64%, orange 82%, red below. AP in gold. "--" = not collected.

Boise State vs Colorado State / ESC TO CLOSE

Boise State vs Colorado State: Week 10 Matchup Breakdown

MATCHUP ANALYSIS · Boise State vs Colorado State

11/07 · 6:00 PM EST · USA Net

Unranked

Boise State6-1AWAY

Unranked

Colorado State3-4HOME

Point spreadNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Over / underNot collectedSource and update time not collected

Game-time weatherNot collectedWeather not collected · Source and update time not collected

Informational only · not an offer to wager · lines as of time not collected

OVERALL MATCHUP SUMMARYMODERATE STATISTICAL LEAN

Moderate statistical edge: Boise State

Boise State has the stronger available statistical profile, led by drive efficiency and rushing. Colorado State's clearest counterpoint is passing. This describes the data, not a predicted winner.

Data coverageBroad95% of planned weight

How much of the comparison had usable stats. Not a win probability.

SampleBoise State: 7 profile games · Colorado State: 7 profile games8 of 9 factors scored

Boise State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 9; statuses have not been re-confirmed. Colorado State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 9; statuses have not been re-confirmed.

When each team has the ball

Boise State offense

Boise State's passing offense (#95) faces Colorado State's pass defense (#126). The rank gap gives Boise State's offense a favorable statistical matchup.

Boise State's rushing offense (#7) faces Colorado State's rush defense (#138). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.

Boise State's pass protection (#6) faces Colorado State's pass rush (#121). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.

Boise State's third-down offense (#13) faces Colorado State's third-down defense (#134). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.

Edge: Boise State

Colorado State offense

Colorado State's passing offense (#19) faces Boise State's pass defense (#116). This is a major statistical advantage for Colorado State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.

However, Colorado State's rushing offense (#48) faces Boise State's rush defense (#18). Boise State's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Colorado State's offense in this area.

However, Colorado State's pass protection (#2) faces Boise State's pass rush (#23). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.

Colorado State's big-play offense (#28) faces Boise State's big-play defense (#97). This is a major statistical advantage for Colorado State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.

However, Colorado State's red-zone scoring offense (#48) faces Boise State's red-zone scoring defense (#7). Boise State's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Colorado State's offense in this area.

Red-zone scoring counts any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.

Slight Edge: Colorado State

Key factors to watch

Scoring
Boise State's scoring offense (#36) faces Colorado State's scoring defense (#138). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's scoring offense (#12) faces Boise State's scoring defense (#38). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Edge: Boise State
Passing
Boise State's passing offense (#95) faces Colorado State's pass defense (#126). The rank gap gives Boise State's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Colorado State's passing offense (#19) faces Boise State's pass defense (#116). This is a major statistical advantage for Colorado State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
These rankings compare passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): Boise State averages 7.6 yards per pass attempt (#60), compared with Colorado State at 7.8 yards per pass attempt (#53). That is about 0.2 more yards per pass attempt for Colorado State, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Slight Edge: Colorado State
Rushing
Boise State's rushing offense (#7) faces Colorado State's rush defense (#138). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's rushing offense (#48) faces Boise State's rush defense (#18). Boise State's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Colorado State's offense in this area.
These rankings compare rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): Boise State averages 5.6 yards per carry (#11), compared with Colorado State at 5.6 yards per carry (#11). The displayed rates are even.
Edge: Boise State
Pass protection / pressure
Boise State's pass protection (#6) faces Colorado State's pass rush (#121). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's pass protection (#2) faces Boise State's pass rush (#23). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Edge: Boise State
Drive efficiency
Boise State's third-down offense (#13) faces Colorado State's third-down defense (#134). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's third-down offense (#22) faces Boise State's third-down defense (#8). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Boise State's red-zone scoring offense (#19) faces Colorado State's red-zone scoring defense (#111). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's red-zone scoring offense (#48) faces Boise State's red-zone scoring defense (#7). Boise State's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Colorado State's offense in this area.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
Boise State's red-zone touchdown offense (#39) faces Colorado State's red-zone touchdown defense (#130). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's red-zone touchdown offense (#1) faces Boise State's red-zone touchdown defense (#20). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Edge: Boise State

Situational context

Boise State is 6-1 overall. Colorado State is 3-4 overall.
Boise State is 3-1 on the road. Colorado State is 3-2 at home.
Boise State: previous opponent Washington State · 10/24 · away; next opponent Oregon State · 11/14 · home. Colorado State: previous opponent San Diego State · 10/24 · home; next opponent Washington State · 11/14 · away.
Possession per game: Boise State 35:29; Colorado State 27:07. Style context, not an automatic advantage.
Boise State: 0 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report; Colorado State: 7 out / season-ending / doubtful entries in the last available injury report. No player-value adjustment is applied.

Driver breakdown8/9 SCORED

Scoringwt 20 · 1/1 metricsBoise State
Boise State28Colorado State
Boise State's scoring offense (#36) faces Colorado State's scoring defense (#138). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's scoring offense (#12) faces Boise State's scoring defense (#38). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare points scored per game versus points allowed per game.
Rushingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsBoise State
Boise State39Colorado State
Boise State's rushing offense (#7) faces Colorado State's rush defense (#138). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's rushing offense (#48) faces Boise State's rush defense (#18). Boise State's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Colorado State's offense in this area.
These rankings compare rushing yards gained per game versus rushing yards allowed per game.
Yards per carry (offense): Boise State averages 5.6 yards per carry (#11), compared with Colorado State at 5.6 yards per carry (#11). The displayed rates are even.
Passingwt 15 · 2/2 metricsColorado State
Boise State-18Colorado State
Boise State's passing offense (#95) faces Colorado State's pass defense (#126). The rank gap gives Boise State's offense a favorable statistical matchup.
Colorado State's passing offense (#19) faces Boise State's pass defense (#116). This is a major statistical advantage for Colorado State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
These rankings compare passing yards gained per game versus passing yards allowed per game.
Yards per attempt (offense): Boise State averages 7.6 yards per pass attempt (#60), compared with Colorado State at 7.8 yards per pass attempt (#53). That is about 0.2 more yards per pass attempt for Colorado State, supporting an advantage in passing efficiency.
Drive efficiencywt 15 · 3/3 metricsBoise State
Boise State43Colorado State
Boise State's third-down offense (#13) faces Colorado State's third-down defense (#134). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's third-down offense (#22) faces Boise State's third-down defense (#8). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare third-down conversion rate versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Boise State's red-zone scoring offense (#19) faces Colorado State's red-zone scoring defense (#111). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's red-zone scoring offense (#48) faces Boise State's red-zone scoring defense (#7). Boise State's defense has the stronger ranking here, which could limit Colorado State's offense in this area.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in any score (touchdown or field goal), not touchdown rate alone.
Boise State's red-zone touchdown offense (#39) faces Colorado State's red-zone touchdown defense (#130). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's red-zone touchdown offense (#1) faces Boise State's red-zone touchdown defense (#20). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare the share of red-zone trips ending in a touchdown versus the rate allowed to opponents.
Explosive playswt 10 · 1/1 metricsNo clear edge
Boise State-4Colorado State
Boise State's big-play offense (#80) faces Colorado State's big-play defense (#137). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's big-play offense (#28) faces Boise State's big-play defense (#97). This is a major statistical advantage for Colorado State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
These rankings compare 20+ yard plays made per game versus 20+ yard plays allowed per game.
Pass protection / pressurewt 10 · 1/1 metricsBoise State
Boise State34Colorado State
Boise State's pass protection (#6) faces Colorado State's pass rush (#121). This is a major statistical advantage for Boise State's offense against a much lower-ranked defensive unit.
Colorado State's pass protection (#2) faces Boise State's pass rush (#23). This is strength against strength: both units rank in the top 30%, making this a test of two strong season-long profiles.
These rankings compare sacks allowed per game versus sacks made per game; rank 1 is best for both.
Turnover marginwt 5 · 1/1 metricsColorado State
Boise State-15Colorado State
Turnover margin (takeaways − giveaways): Boise State averages 0.6 net turnovers per game (#28), compared with Colorado State at 1.1 net turnovers per game (#7). That is about 0.5 more net turnovers per game for Colorado State, supporting an advantage in season-long turnover balance.
Field-goal efficiencywt 5 · 0/1 metricsNot enough data
Not collected or not broadly ranked; no advantage is assigned.
Schedule contextwt 5 · 1/1 metricsColorado State
Boise State-18Colorado State
Opponents' combined win rate: Boise State 48.9%; Colorado State 66.7%. This is a schedule proxy, not a full opponent adjustment.

Method and limitations

Limitations

Missing or narrowly covered metrics are excluded. Their weights are not redistributed to the remaining metrics.
Boise State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 9; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Colorado State: injury report carried from 2026 Week 9; statuses have not been re-confirmed.
Game-time weather not collected; no weather adjustment is applied.

How this is computed

Rules-based comparison of the existing public CFBD pre-week profiles and original injury/context notes, with NWS weather context. No new provider or AI requests.
Rank strength = (teams ranked − rank) / (teams ranked − 1). A metric needs values and ranks for both teams and coverage of at least 80% of the FBS population. Rank 1 is best, including defense allowed and sacks allowed.
For each offense/defense metric: [(away offense strength − home defense strength) − (home offense strength − away defense strength)] / 2. Efficiency-only metrics compare the two teams directly.
Related metrics share a group weight: rushing/passing yardage receives twice the weight of yards per carry/attempt. Third down receives half of drive efficiency; red-zone score and TD percentages share the other half.
Weights: scoring 20%; rushing 15%; passing 15%; drive efficiency 15%; explosive plays 10%; pressure/protection 10%; turnover margin 5%; field goals 5%; schedule context 5%. Schedule uses the difference in opponents’ combined win rates.
Net comparison index: 16.6 on a −100 to +100 scale (positive favors Boise State, negative Colorado State). Missing weights stay neutral rather than being redistributed. This is not a probability, projected margin or betting model.
Overall call requires 55% of planned scoring weight and three games per team. Under 4 index points is even; 4+ slight; 12+ moderate requires 65% coverage and four games; 25+ strong requires 85% coverage and five games. Incomplete profile samples are not scored.
Record, venue splits, total offense/defense ranks and AP polls are not added again because they overlap existing evidence. Possession time is style context, not inherently better. Injuries, rest, rivalry and weather receive no invented numerical adjustments.
Schedule context is not a true opponent-adjusted rating. This heuristic has not been calibrated against outcomes. Odds are not inputs. Informational only; not a wagering recommendation.

Descriptive comparison of season stats only. The score has not been validated as a predictor and is not a forecast of the result.

TEAM PROFILE

Side by side

TIERS OF 138 FBS

Metric	Boise State	Colorado State	Edge
Record	6-1	3-4	Boise State
Opponent win percentage rank	#103 48.9% opponent win rate	#14 66.7% opponent win rate	Colorado State
SOS rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#80 As of 10/30, 9:30 AM EDT	#88 As of 10/30, 9:30 AM EDT	Boise State
SOR rank · ESPN FPI via CFBD	#24 As of 10/30, 9:30 AM EDT	#101 As of 10/30, 9:30 AM EDT	Boise State
Offense rank	#29 444.3 ypg	#16 460.1 ypg	Colorado State
Defense rank	#62 350.4 allowed	#138 517.4 allowed	Boise State
ATS	4-3-0	4-3-0	Even
Rest / last game	Not collected 10/24 · Washington State · A	Not collected 10/24 · San Diego State · H	No call
Venue record (away / home)	3-1	3-2	Boise State
Next game	11/14 · Oregon State · H	11/14 · Washington State · A	No call
Out / doubtful	0	7	Boise State
Season to date · completed games before this week · CFBD
Games in sample	7	7	—
Points / game	34.4 ppg36 of 138	38.6 ppg12 of 138	Colorado State
Points allowed / game	20.6 ppg38 of 138	44 ppg138 of 138	Boise State
Rushing yards / game	237.9 yds7 of 138	177 yds48 of 138	Boise State
Yards / carry	5.6 yds11 of 138	5.6 yds11 of 138	Even
Passing yards / game	206.4 yds95 of 138	283.1 yds19 of 138	Colorado State
Yards / pass attempt	7.6 yds60 of 138	7.8 yds53 of 138	Colorado State
3rd-down conversions	51.1%13 of 138	47.4%22 of 138	Boise State
Red-zone scores	89.3%19 of 138	85.3%48 of 138	Boise State
Red-zone TDs	67.9%39 of 138	82.4%1 of 138	Colorado State
Field goal %	Not collected	Not collected	Not enough data
Explosive plays (20+) / game	4.180 of 138	5.328 of 138	Colorado State
Sacks made / game	2.623 of 138	1.1121 of 138	Boise State
Sacks allowed / game	0.76 of 138	0.42 of 138	Colorado State
Rush yards allowed / game	99.1 yds18 of 138	259.1 yds138 of 138	Boise State
Pass yards allowed / game	251.3 yds116 of 138	258.3 yds126 of 138	Boise State
3rd-down conv. allowed	29.1%8 of 138	49.3%134 of 138	Boise State
Red-zone scores allowed	65%7 of 138	87.2%111 of 138	Boise State
Red-zone TDs allowed	45%20 of 138	74.4%130 of 138	Boise State
Explosive plays allowed / game	4.697 of 138	6.9137 of 138	Boise State
Turnover margin / game	+0.57128 of 138	+1.1437 of 138	Colorado State
Time of possession	35:292 of 138	27:07130 of 138	Boise State

POSSESSION MATCHUPS

Offense vs. Defense Comparison

2 POSSESSIONS

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

When Boise State has the ball

EDGE AT 15+ RANK GAP · #1 BEST

Boise State offenseColorado State defense

34.4 ppg36 of 138

ScoringOffense edge · 102 spots

44 ppg138 of 138

237.9 yds7 of 138

Rushing yards / gameOffense edge · 131 spots

259.1 yds138 of 138

206.4 yds95 of 138

Passing yards / gameOffense edge · 31 spots

258.3 yds126 of 138

51.1%13 of 138

Third downOffense edge · 121 spots

49.3%134 of 138

89.3%19 of 138

Red-zone scoreOffense edge · 92 spots

87.2%111 of 138

67.9%39 of 138

Red-zone TDOffense edge · 91 spots

74.4%130 of 138

4.180 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Offense edge · 57 spots

6.9137 of 138

0.76 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeOffense edge · 115 spots

1.1121 of 138

OFFENSE VS OPPOSING DEFENSE

When Colorado State has the ball

EDGE AT 15+ RANK GAP · #1 BEST

Colorado State offenseBoise State defense

38.6 ppg12 of 138

ScoringOffense edge · 26 spots

20.6 ppg38 of 138

177 yds48 of 138

Rushing yards / gameDefense edge · 30 spots

99.1 yds18 of 138

283.1 yds19 of 138

Passing yards / gameOffense edge · 97 spots

251.3 yds116 of 138

47.4%22 of 138

Third downNo edge

29.1%8 of 138

85.3%48 of 138

Red-zone scoreDefense edge · 41 spots

65%7 of 138

82.4%1 of 138

Red-zone TDOffense edge · 19 spots

45%20 of 138

5.328 of 138

Explosive plays (20+)Offense edge · 69 spots

4.697 of 138

0.42 of 138

Sacks allowed vs sacks madeOffense edge · 21 spots

2.623 of 138

SEASON PROFILE

Pace & Pressure

3 METRICS

Time of possession / game: Boise State 35:292 of 138; Colorado State 27:07130 of 138
Defensive sacks made / game: Boise State 2.623 of 138; Colorado State 1.1121 of 138
Offensive sacks allowed / game: Boise State 0.76 of 138; Colorado State 0.42 of 138

SEASON PROFILE

Red Zone

5 METRICS

Offensive red-zone score rate: Boise State 89.3%19 of 138; Colorado State 85.3%48 of 138
Defensive red-zone score rate allowed: Boise State 65%7 of 138; Colorado State 87.2%111 of 138
Offensive red-zone touchdown rate: Boise State 67.9%39 of 138; Colorado State 82.4%1 of 138
Defensive red-zone touchdown rate allowed: Boise State 45%20 of 138; Colorado State 74.4%130 of 138
Field-goal accuracy: Boise State Not collected; Colorado State Not collected

SPECIAL TEAMS · CFBD

Team Kicking

2 TEAMS

Boise State: Field goals (FGM/FGA): Not collected; Field-goal accuracy: Not collected; Longest field goal: Not collected; Extra points (XPM/XPA): Not collected
Colorado State: Field goals (FGM/FGA): Not collected; Field-goal accuracy: Not collected; Longest field goal: Not collected; Extra points (XPM/XPA): Not collected

AUTO-DETECTED CONTEXT

Flags

7 FLAGS

RUN MISMATCH · Boise State rushing offense ranks 7; Colorado State rushing defense ranks 138.
PASS MISMATCH · Colorado State passing offense ranks 19; Boise State passing defense ranks 116.
TURNOVER-FUELED · Colorado State averages +1.143 turnover margin per game.
MISMATCH · Boise State offense has a 109-rank edge against Colorado State defense.
RECORD TRAP · Boise State's strong record came against opponents ranked in the bottom 30% by combined win rate.
HIDDEN STRENGTH · Colorado State has faced opponents ranked in the top 25% by combined win rate.
SCHEDULE GAP · The teams' opponent win-percentage ranks differ by at least 60 places.

Boise StateRest: Not collectedNext: 11/14 · Oregon State · H

Colorado StateRest: Not collectedNext: 11/14 · Washington State · A

PLAYER AVAILABILITY

Key Injuries

11 LISTED

Boise State: Carried forward from 2026 Week 9 — awaiting a Week 10 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Colorado State: Carried forward from 2026 Week 9 — awaiting a Week 10 update. Statuses have not been re-confirmed.

Team	Pos	Status	Detail
Colorado State	DB	Out	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30); aggregator also shows a duplicate 'Aj Noland' entry as not listed Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	WR	Out	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	DB	Out	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	ILB	Out	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	DB	Out	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	TE	Doubtful	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	WR	Doubtful	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	RB	Questionable	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	TE	Questionable	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	OL	Probable	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown
Colorado State	DL	Probable	Injury not disclosed; Pac-12 availability report update, Oct 29 (via kickoffstatus, viewed Oct 30) Source · Source date unknown

Boise State: No current-week injuries found; Oct 11 Covers WR entries dropped as stale. QB Maddux Madsen treated as starter in Oct 27 previews (CBS/FLM), no injury reported.

Colorado State: Five out on Thursday's Pac-12 report (three DBs, ILB Dakota Rich, WR Antoine Martin); TE Juice Vereen and WR Steph Daily doubtful. QB Hauss Hejny is not on the official report; an undated Covers 'Questionable (hamstring)' tag could not be verified.

SCHEDULE CONTEXT

Previous Opponents

FULL SEASON

Boise State

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
@ Oregon	09/05	L 27-34	24.75	W
Memphis	09/12	W 38-20	-9.25	W
South Dakota	09/19	W 38-24	-28.25	L
@ Western Michigan	09/26	W 32-7	-8.5	W
Utah State	10/03	W 37-18	-19.5	L
@ Fresno State	10/10	W 38-31	-9	L
@ Washington State	10/24	W 31-10	-14.75	W

Colorado State

Opponent	Date	Result	Line	ATS
Wyoming	09/05	W 35-13	-2.75	W
Southern Utah	09/12	W 58-24	-19.75	W
BYU	09/19	L 23-41	17.5	L
@ UTSA	09/26	L 45-59	14.25	W
Oregon State	10/03	L 26-56	7	L
@ Texas State	10/15	L 27-66	15.25	L
San Diego State	10/24	W 56-49	0.25	W

Game context

GAME CONTEXT

Home field: Colorado State

Boise State travel

Home base: Time zone not collected. Game-venue time-zone comparison not collected.

Travel is context only, not a statistical advantage.

Unavailable figures are shown as “Not collected.” Rankings are national ranks where supplied.